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Should I Buy LON:HVPE Stock? (4% Forecasted Return) | HVPE HARBOURVEST GLOBAL PRIVATE EQUITY L Stock Forecast



While we only include contractual acquisitions when calculating A/B and A-B, when evaluating qualitative factors, we focus more on a company's track record and our expectation for financial management. In this respect, the quantitative and qualitative factors under the liquidity criteria are meant to complement each other and produce a more comprehensive view of a company's future liquidity position.Given that we exclude proposed "best efforts" or potential financings as a source of liquidity, we also exclude from uses of liquidity acquisitions and other discretionary spending that are contingent on the successful issuance of new financing to support the proposed transaction. We estimate HVPE HARBOURVEST GLOBAL PRIVATE EQUITY L stock forecast parameters by: Anomaly with Pearson Correlation because of core capital, as measured by adjusted common equity, comprises more than 90% of the TAC, or double leverage is less than 90% (4% Forecasted Return)

LON:HVPE Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) as of 23 Jun 2022 for (n+6 month)

Stock: HVPE HARBOURVEST GLOBAL PRIVATE EQUITY L

Time series to forecast n: 23 Jun 2022 for (n+6 month)

x axis:Likelihood %
y axis:Potential Impact %
z axis:Color (yellow to green) Technical Analysis %

Stock Forecast Criteria and Models for HVPE HARBOURVEST GLOBAL PRIVATE EQUITY L

  • For the purposes of these criteria, we consider all capital investments in insurance subsidiaries, and, thus, we deduct capital instruments, including common equity and subordinated debt (all regulatory Tier capital instruments, as long as they are issued out of the insurance subsidiary and held by the financial institution group).
  • For each of the six credit risk asset classes (governments, financial sector, corporate sector, retail and personal sector, counterparty risk, and securitizations), we associate an idealized loss rate with a substantial stress scenario.
  • For entities we are considering rating above a sovereign that has a foreign currency rating of 'AA-' or higher, the stress test for a sovereign default scenario would generally not be required, given the very low likelihood of a potential sovereign default scenario for such a highly rated sovereign. Nevertheless, we will review, from a qualitative perspective, why the entity or sector would (or would not) be expected to default at a time when the sovereign is defaulting, based on the entity's or sector's expected resilience to a severe stress scenario and limited direct links to the sovereign.
  • A debt instrument that transforms into a hybrid instrument upon a trigger event will be rated based on its hybrid features if we anticipate that the trigger will be activated at or before loss absorption or cash conservation on an equivalent hybrid instrument.
  • The level of the capital-based financial trigger that corresponds to a going-concern basis could differ by entity depending on the nature of its assets.
  • We apply the standard corporate risk weight to exposures to corporate entities that we consider GREs under our criteria.
  • Our charges on equity investments (for equity exposures that are not captured elsewhere, such as equities that are classified in banks' trading books) capture the risk of loss at a one-year horizon in an 'A' stress scenario. They correspond to our estimates of potential losses in the stress scenario on the assumption of a "buy and hold" strategy.

Assumptions Underlying The Forecast Model for HVPE HARBOURVEST GLOBAL PRIVATE EQUITY L

Given the earnings volatility companies experience, we have specified for these issuers a more stringent decline in EBITDA percentage for each liquidity category to the extent our cash flow forecasts are not already assuming a downside scenario.

Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: Is HVPE HARBOURVEST GLOBAL PRIVATE EQUITY L stock buy or sell?
A: While we only include contractual acquisitions when calculating A/B and A-B, when evaluating qualitative factors, we focus more on a company's track record and our expectation for financial management. In this respect, the quantitative and qualitative factors under the liquidity criteria are meant to complement each other and produce a more comprehensive view of a company's future liquidity position.
Q: Is HVPE HARBOURVEST GLOBAL PRIVATE EQUITY L stock expected to go up?
A: Given that we exclude proposed "best efforts" or potential financings as a source of liquidity, we also exclude from uses of liquidity acquisitions and other discretionary spending that are contingent on the successful issuance of new financing to support the proposed transaction.
Q: What is the forecast for HVPE HARBOURVEST GLOBAL PRIVATE EQUITY L ?
A: Given the earnings volatility companies experience, we have specified for these issuers a more stringent decline in EBITDA percentage for each liquidity category to the extent our cash flow forecasts are not already assuming a downside scenario.
Q: What is the consensus rating of HVPE HARBOURVEST GLOBAL PRIVATE EQUITY L ?
A: The consensus rating for HVPE HARBOURVEST GLOBAL PRIVATE EQUITY L is 87.
Q: What are the risks of investing HVPE HARBOURVEST GLOBAL PRIVATE EQUITY L ?
A: We use risk analysis for HVPE HARBOURVEST GLOBAL PRIVATE EQUITY L because of core capital, as measured by adjusted common equity, comprises more than 90% of the TAC, or double leverage is less than 90%


HVPE HARBOURVEST GLOBAL PRIVATE EQUITY L
AC Investment Research

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