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Should I Buy NASDAQ:AMTB Stock? (9% Forecasted Return) | AMTB Amerant Bancorp Inc. Stock Forecast



The various qualitative factors in the criteria help to identify strengths and weaknesses within a company's future liquidity position that numerical ratios might not fully capture. While there is no size bias in our liquidity assessment, generally, lower-rated entities might meet the quantitative requirements for strong or exceptional liquidity but fail to meet corresponding qualitative factors.Given that we exclude proposed "best efforts" or potential financings as a source of liquidity, we also exclude from uses of liquidity acquisitions and other discretionary spending that are contingent on the successful issuance of new financing to support the proposed transaction. We estimate AMTB Amerant Bancorp Inc. stock forecast parameters by: Bollinger Bands %B with Independent T-Test because of deduct goodwill and nonservicing intangibles (9% Forecasted Return)

NASDAQ:AMTB Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) as of 23 Jun 2022 for (n+3 month)

Stock: AMTB Amerant Bancorp Inc.

Time series to forecast n: 23 Jun 2022 for (n+3 month)

x axis:Likelihood %
y axis:Potential Impact %
z axis:Color (yellow to green) Technical Analysis %

Stock Forecast Criteria and Models for AMTB Amerant Bancorp Inc.

  • ACE does not include any hybrid capital instruments reported under "minority interest: equity" on an entity's balance sheet. Subject to our criteria for the equity content of hybrids, we may include these instruments in our definition of TAC.
  • The most important step in analyzing the creditworthiness of a corporate or governmental obligor is gauging the resources available to it for fulfilling its commitments relative to the size and timing of those commitments. Assessing an obligor's resources for fulfilling its financial commitments is primarily a forward-looking exercise. It may entail estimating or projecting future income and cash flows. It may include consideration of economic conditions, the regulatory environment, and economic projections and forecasts.
  • Very infrequently, an issuer might pass the stress test only because we assume the issuer will execute a well-documented risk-mitigation plan that would alleviate the default risk associated with the stress. That plan must be credible and approved by the issuer's board of directors, and the issuer must have clear incentives (that outweigh any drawbacks) to execute such a plan and be able and willing to do so under the stress scenario.
  • U.S. public finance obligated groups typically consist of a group of entities that are cross-obligated as security for specific debt. Obligated group structures are most commonly used by not-for-profit hospitals, health systems, and senior living organizations.
  • Individual obligated group members may have separate legal incorporation and varying strategic value to the group. However, since the purpose of the obligated group is to secure debt on a joint and several basis, group status will be determined for the obligated group as a whole, not for its individual members. In applying these criteria, we consider obligated groups a single entity.
  • For business entities, key financial indicators generally include profitability, leverage, cash flow adequacy, liquidity, and financial flexibility. For financial institutions and insurers, other critical factors may include asset quality, reserves for losses, asset-liability management, and capital adequacy. Off-balance sheet items, such as securitizations, derivative exposures, leases, and pension liabilities, may also be part of the quantitative analysis. Cash flow analysis and liquidity assume heightened significance for firms with speculative-grade ratings ('BB+' and lower).
  • If the effective maturity of a hybrid would be accelerated in the event of a rating deterioration, we typically classify it as having no equity content.

Assumptions Underlying The Forecast Model for AMTB Amerant Bancorp Inc.

Our liquidity uses include dividends and share repurchases that we expect under a stress scenario. Unlike other potential uses of liquidity, such as debt maturities or maintenance capital spending, we view dividends and share repurchases as more discretionary, although more so for the latter. For this reason, when evaluating a company's liquidity position, we may use a lower estimate of dividends and shareholder repurchases than in our base-case forecast based on our views of management and the company's track record in terms of shareholder returns and maintaining a certain minimum level of liquidity.

Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: Is AMTB Amerant Bancorp Inc. stock buy or sell?
A: The various qualitative factors in the criteria help to identify strengths and weaknesses within a company's future liquidity position that numerical ratios might not fully capture. While there is no size bias in our liquidity assessment, generally, lower-rated entities might meet the quantitative requirements for strong or exceptional liquidity but fail to meet corresponding qualitative factors.
Q: Is AMTB Amerant Bancorp Inc. stock expected to go up?
A: Given that we exclude proposed "best efforts" or potential financings as a source of liquidity, we also exclude from uses of liquidity acquisitions and other discretionary spending that are contingent on the successful issuance of new financing to support the proposed transaction.
Q: What is the forecast for AMTB Amerant Bancorp Inc. ?
A: Our liquidity uses include dividends and share repurchases that we expect under a stress scenario. Unlike other potential uses of liquidity, such as debt maturities or maintenance capital spending, we view dividends and share repurchases as more discretionary, although more so for the latter. For this reason, when evaluating a company's liquidity position, we may use a lower estimate of dividends and shareholder repurchases than in our base-case forecast based on our views of management and the company's track record in terms of shareholder returns and maintaining a certain minimum level of liquidity.
Q: What is the consensus rating of AMTB Amerant Bancorp Inc. ?
A: The consensus rating for AMTB Amerant Bancorp Inc. is 67.
Q: What are the risks of investing AMTB Amerant Bancorp Inc. ?
A: We use risk analysis for AMTB Amerant Bancorp Inc. because of deduct goodwill and nonservicing intangibles


AMTB Amerant Bancorp Inc.

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