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Should I Buy NASDAQ:BSCP Stock? (4% Forecasted Return) | BSCP Invesco BulletShares 2025 Corporate Bond ETF Stock Forecast



Under times of stress, such actions could include dividend cuts, suspension of share repurchases, or maintenance of minimum cash balances. This is particularly relevant for exceptional and strong assessments, where issuers are required to carry higher levels of excess liquidity even during times of stress. For example, when assessing liquidity, we would generally expect companies to be able to cover the full amount of dividends and share repurchases included in our base-case forecast, while still maintaining excess liquidity and achieving the required A/B and A-B measures under a stress case.Given that it can be difficult to identify outstanding CP at any point in time, when considering coverage, we may include our expectations for peak outstanding CP during the year as opposed to CP balances as of the last filing date, especially if we believe reported balances are not reflective of typical borrowing patterns. We estimate BSCP Invesco BulletShares 2025 Corporate Bond ETF stock forecast parameters by: Trend with ElasticNet Regression because of normalized loss rates using default and transition studies for corporate, sovereign, and financial institutions exposures and our assessment of long-term average annualized through-the-cycle expected losses informed by historical losses for retail and personal exposures. This normalized, through-the-cycle loss estimate is more conservative than an expected loss calculation based on a shorter time horizon, which might exclude periods of recession (4% Forecasted Return)

NASDAQ:BSCP Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) as of 22 Jun 2022 for (n+6 month)

Stock: BSCP Invesco BulletShares 2025 Corporate Bond ETF

Time series to forecast n: 22 Jun 2022 for (n+6 month)

x axis:Likelihood %
y axis:Potential Impact %
z axis:Color (yellow to green) Technical Analysis %

Stock Forecast Criteria and Models for BSCP Invesco BulletShares 2025 Corporate Bond ETF

  • There is a high correlation between corporate default rates and sovereign crises and macroeconomic volatility, as our emerging-market default study supports
  • Trends over time and peer comparisons may be part of the quantitative analysis for both business and governmental entities.
  • The triggers for these features would kick in mandatorily and on a going-concern basis. A temporary write-down would still be consistent with this condition if the permanent portion of any write-down is at least 25% of principal.
  • We consider factors including, but not limited to, public statements regarding replacement, as well as our view of the issuer's capital strategy, and the issuer's past behavior concerning hybrid issues.
  • The hybrid documentation stipulates that it may only be replaced by issuing new common equity instruments (such as by a general capital increase) or by an equivalent or stronger instrument (with high or intermediate equity content) and that such a replacement would take place before the redemption of the instrument.
  • Where a financial institution or insurance company has exposure in excess of about 50% concentrated in its country of domicile, we generally consider it highly likely that the entity would fail a stress test associated with a sovereign foreign currency default. As a result, we would not undertake the stress test unless we saw strong idiosyncratic reasons that could potentially cause the entity to pass the test.
  • In cases where a shareholder agreement or similar arrangement exists that we believe would prevent an otherwise controlling parent from directing the strategy and cash flows of a group member, we may assess that control is not present. When we determine control is not present, we would typically treat the member as an equity affiliate and consider only the projected dividend flows from that member in our group SACP assessment.

Assumptions Underlying The Forecast Model for BSCP Invesco BulletShares 2025 Corporate Bond ETF

We do not include asset sales as a source of liquidity unless they are contracted and proceeds will be received in the time period being measured under the liquidity descriptor (even when the disposed assets are reported under discontinued operations in a company's financial statements).

Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: Is BSCP Invesco BulletShares 2025 Corporate Bond ETF stock buy or sell?
A: Under times of stress, such actions could include dividend cuts, suspension of share repurchases, or maintenance of minimum cash balances. This is particularly relevant for exceptional and strong assessments, where issuers are required to carry higher levels of excess liquidity even during times of stress. For example, when assessing liquidity, we would generally expect companies to be able to cover the full amount of dividends and share repurchases included in our base-case forecast, while still maintaining excess liquidity and achieving the required A/B and A-B measures under a stress case.
Q: Is BSCP Invesco BulletShares 2025 Corporate Bond ETF stock expected to go up?
A: Given that it can be difficult to identify outstanding CP at any point in time, when considering coverage, we may include our expectations for peak outstanding CP during the year as opposed to CP balances as of the last filing date, especially if we believe reported balances are not reflective of typical borrowing patterns.
Q: What is the forecast for BSCP Invesco BulletShares 2025 Corporate Bond ETF ?
A: We do not include asset sales as a source of liquidity unless they are contracted and proceeds will be received in the time period being measured under the liquidity descriptor (even when the disposed assets are reported under discontinued operations in a company's financial statements).
Q: What is the consensus rating of BSCP Invesco BulletShares 2025 Corporate Bond ETF ?
A: The consensus rating for BSCP Invesco BulletShares 2025 Corporate Bond ETF is 86.
Q: What are the risks of investing BSCP Invesco BulletShares 2025 Corporate Bond ETF ?
A: We use risk analysis for BSCP Invesco BulletShares 2025 Corporate Bond ETF because of normalized loss rates using default and transition studies for corporate, sovereign, and financial institutions exposures and our assessment of long-term average annualized through-the-cycle expected losses informed by historical losses for retail and personal exposures. This normalized, through-the-cycle loss estimate is more conservative than an expected loss calculation based on a shorter time horizon, which might exclude periods of recession


BSCP Invesco BulletShares 2025 Corporate Bond ETF
AC Investment Research

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