ac investment research

Should I Buy NASDAQ:CPSS Stock? (17% Forecasted Return) | CPSS Consumer Portfolio Services Stock Forecast



In these cases, the level of capital expenditures will be lower than estimates in our base-case forecast to determine an issuer's financial risk profile, particularly for companies that are pursuing discrete growth projects that have not been committed or can be easily curtailed in case of a need to preserve cash.Other factors we consider include a company's frequency of debt issuance and market access, especially during times of company-specific stress or credit market turbulence. We estimate CPSS Consumer Portfolio Services stock forecast parameters by: Ratiocator (RAT) with Sign Test because we use the multipliers stemming from the Gaussian distribution (with a 50% add-on for fat tail events) to transform a VaR at a x-confidence level into a VaR at the chosen confidence level (17% Forecasted Return)

NASDAQ:CPSS Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) as of 23 Jun 2022 for (n+1 year)

Stock: CPSS Consumer Portfolio Services

Time series to forecast n: 23 Jun 2022 for (n+1 year)

x axis:Likelihood %
y axis:Potential Impact %
z axis:Color (yellow to green) Technical Analysis %

Stock Forecast Criteria and Models for CPSS Consumer Portfolio Services

  • We differentiate between the risk of posting losses due to the default of counterparties and the risk of having to post additional provisions due to a deterioration of the creditworthiness of derivatives counterparties, absent any default
  • For each of the six credit risk asset classes (governments, financial sector, corporate sector, retail and personal sector, counterparty risk, and securitizations), we associate an idealized loss rate with a substantial stress scenario.
  • DTAs arising from temporary differences:For all institutions, the treatment of DTAs arising from temporary differences depends on whether their amount exceeds 10% of intermediate ACE. In this calculation, we use DTAs net of DTLs when the regulator allows such netting.
  • We do not rate a hybrid instrument if it has a loss-absorption or cash conservation trigger that is not related to the issuer's creditworthiness.
  • We make various adjustments to a financial institution's reported shareholders' funds to calculate ACE and TAC
  • Based on our assessment of the relationship between the issuer and its government or group, we form an opinion on the likelihood of timely and sufficient extraordinary intervention in support of the issuer meeting its financial obligations.
  • In RACF, we take into account the insurance subsidiaries' credit and operational risks through the treatment of the investment amount and the assessment of capitalization. Therefore, for banks that Basel II does not apply to, where we typically use primarily accounting data for calculating RAC ratios, we exclude the relevant assets (stocks, bonds, etc.) and AUM held by insurance subsidiaries from the assets and AUM reported in consolidated financial accounts we use as disclosure for the calculation of the RAC ratio.

Assumptions Underlying The Forecast Model for CPSS Consumer Portfolio Services

In these cases, the level of capital expenditures will be lower than estimates in our base-case forecast to determine an issuer's financial risk profile, particularly for companies that are pursuing discrete growth projects that have not been committed or can be easily curtailed in case of a need to preserve cash.

Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: Is CPSS Consumer Portfolio Services stock buy or sell?
A: In these cases, the level of capital expenditures will be lower than estimates in our base-case forecast to determine an issuer's financial risk profile, particularly for companies that are pursuing discrete growth projects that have not been committed or can be easily curtailed in case of a need to preserve cash.
Q: Is CPSS Consumer Portfolio Services stock expected to go up?
A: Other factors we consider include a company's frequency of debt issuance and market access, especially during times of company-specific stress or credit market turbulence.
Q: What is the forecast for CPSS Consumer Portfolio Services ?
A: In these cases, the level of capital expenditures will be lower than estimates in our base-case forecast to determine an issuer's financial risk profile, particularly for companies that are pursuing discrete growth projects that have not been committed or can be easily curtailed in case of a need to preserve cash.
Q: What is the consensus rating of CPSS Consumer Portfolio Services ?
A: The consensus rating for CPSS Consumer Portfolio Services is 76.
Q: What are the risks of investing CPSS Consumer Portfolio Services ?
A: We use risk analysis for CPSS Consumer Portfolio Services because we use the multipliers stemming from the Gaussian distribution (with a 50% add-on for fat tail events) to transform a VaR at a x-confidence level into a VaR at the chosen confidence level


CPSS Consumer Portfolio Services
AC Investment Research

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