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Should I Buy NASDAQ:RTIX Stock? (12% Forecasted Return) | RTIX RTI Surgical Holdings Stock Forecast



We do not include potential future debt issuances as a source of liquidity because of the uncertainty of a company's ability to access debt markets in times of financial stress, even for investment-grade issuers. For instance, in the case of a proposed financing, with the intended use of proceeds to repay existing debt, we will assess a company's liquidity excluding the proposed financing until it's obtained or fully underwritten.For new issuers, while our ratings are prospective, we will not include proposed financing as a source in our liquidity calculations until the financing has been obtained or is fully underwritten. Similarly, we would not include rights issues as a source of liquidity for a company, unless the rights issue is irrevocably guaranteed (for example, an underwriter agrees to buy any securities not taken up by existing holders). We estimate RTIX RTI Surgical Holdings stock forecast parameters by: Triple Exponential Moving Average (TRIX) with Beta because of derivatives receivables represent more than 5% of total assets for entities reporting under IFRS (or under local GAAP similar to IFRS for the accounting of derivatives) and are domiciled in countries for which our BICRA group is '5' and above. (12% Forecasted Return)

NASDAQ:RTIX Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) as of 23 Jun 2022 for (n+3 month)

Stock: RTIX RTI Surgical Holdings

Time series to forecast n: 23 Jun 2022 for (n+3 month)

x axis:Likelihood %
y axis:Potential Impact %
z axis:Color (yellow to green) Technical Analysis %

Stock Forecast Criteria and Models for RTIX RTI Surgical Holdings

  • We apply a 688% risk weight to investments in mutual funds and other collective investment undertakings if the underlying exposures are not disclosed. This risk weight is the average of risk weights for listed securities in equity market groups 1 and 2, reflecting that mutual funds tend to invest in reasonably liquid markets.
  • We apply a multiplier of 2.3 to the regulatory stressed VaR (SVaR) charge to get a proxy of a 99.9%, one-year SVaR. Unlike the 3.0 and 4.0 multipliers for banks that are not domiciled in jurisdictions subject to the Basel 2.5 market risk framework, this multiplier includes no add-on for fat-tail events. This is because, in our view, the regulatory SVaR already captures periods of significant stress.
  • U.S. public finance obligated groups typically consist of a group of entities that are cross-obligated as security for specific debt. Obligated group structures are most commonly used by not-for-profit hospitals, health systems, and senior living organizations.
  • We have observed that, regardless of the initial sovereign rating, sovereign defaults over the past two decades have tended to share similar characteristics.
  • For some asset classes, the estimation may proceed in stages: We might separately estimate asset default frequencies and loss severities under extreme stress conditions and then combine those components to form the overall loss estimate.
  • Industry characteristics typically encompass growth prospects, volatility, and technological change, as well as the degree and nature of competition. Broadly speaking, the lower the industry risk, the higher the potential credit rating for an obligor in that sector.
  • In our general classification of asset classes and corresponding risk weights, we aim to accurately differentiate the risks generally on entities' balance sheets on a globally consistent basis. But occasionally, a financial system or institution may have unique risks that we choose to capture by reclassifying exposures to alternative asset classes than the ones we typically use. We do this to reflect our expectation of materially and consistently higher or lower losses for that unique set of exposures for a system or an entity than likely would be the case for the typically corresponding asset class in the given BICRA, economic risk, or rating category.

Assumptions Underlying The Forecast Model for RTIX RTI Surgical Holdings

When calculating sources of liquidity, we only include the undrawn, available portion of committed bank lines maturing beyond the specified time horizon for each liquidity descriptor. For example, when assessing liquidity as adequate, we only include a committed revolving credit facility as a source if it matured beyond the next 12 months. Similarly, given that our liquidity assessment looks out over two years when assessing liquidity as strong or exceptional, we only include a facility maturing beyond 24 months as a source of liquidity.

Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: Is RTIX RTI Surgical Holdings stock buy or sell?
A: We do not include potential future debt issuances as a source of liquidity because of the uncertainty of a company's ability to access debt markets in times of financial stress, even for investment-grade issuers. For instance, in the case of a proposed financing, with the intended use of proceeds to repay existing debt, we will assess a company's liquidity excluding the proposed financing until it's obtained or fully underwritten.
Q: Is RTIX RTI Surgical Holdings stock expected to go up?
A: For new issuers, while our ratings are prospective, we will not include proposed financing as a source in our liquidity calculations until the financing has been obtained or is fully underwritten. Similarly, we would not include rights issues as a source of liquidity for a company, unless the rights issue is irrevocably guaranteed (for example, an underwriter agrees to buy any securities not taken up by existing holders).
Q: What is the forecast for RTIX RTI Surgical Holdings ?
A: When calculating sources of liquidity, we only include the undrawn, available portion of committed bank lines maturing beyond the specified time horizon for each liquidity descriptor. For example, when assessing liquidity as adequate, we only include a committed revolving credit facility as a source if it matured beyond the next 12 months. Similarly, given that our liquidity assessment looks out over two years when assessing liquidity as strong or exceptional, we only include a facility maturing beyond 24 months as a source of liquidity.
Q: What is the consensus rating of RTIX RTI Surgical Holdings ?
A: The consensus rating for RTIX RTI Surgical Holdings is 81.
Q: What are the risks of investing RTIX RTI Surgical Holdings ?
A: We use risk analysis for RTIX RTI Surgical Holdings because of derivatives receivables represent more than 5% of total assets for entities reporting under IFRS (or under local GAAP similar to IFRS for the accounting of derivatives) and are domiciled in countries for which our BICRA group is '5' and above.


RTIX RTI Surgical Holdings

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