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Should I Buy NASDAQ:SMSI Stock? (8% Forecasted Return) | SMSI Smith Micro Software Stock Forecast



When an issuer has a shared revolving credit facility with a captive finance entity, for purposes of calculating the issuer's liquidity sources, we net outstanding commercial paper at the captive from the revolver's borrowing availability. In these cases, we generally use an estimate of peak CP borrowings at the captive to avoid potentially overstating sources available to the issuer over a 12- to 24-month period.Under times of stress, such actions could include dividend cuts, suspension of share repurchases, or maintenance of minimum cash balances. This is particularly relevant for exceptional and strong assessments, where issuers are required to carry higher levels of excess liquidity even during times of stress. For example, when assessing liquidity, we would generally expect companies to be able to cover the full amount of dividends and share repurchases included in our base-case forecast, while still maintaining excess liquidity and achieving the required A/B and A-B measures under a stress case.When assessing strong or exceptional liquidity, we include all forecasted capital expenditures over the next 24 months, including discretionary growth capital spending. We estimate SMSI Smith Micro Software stock forecast parameters by: V Controlled Oscillator with ElasticNet Regression because of normalized loss rates using default and transition studies for corporate, sovereign, and financial institutions exposures and our assessment of long-term average annualized through-the-cycle expected losses informed by historical losses for retail and personal exposures. This normalized, through-the-cycle loss estimate is more conservative than an expected loss calculation based on a shorter time horizon, which might exclude periods of recession (8% Forecasted Return)

NASDAQ:SMSI Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) as of 20 Jun 2022 for (n+6 month)

Stock: SMSI Smith Micro Software

Time series to forecast n: 20 Jun 2022 for (n+6 month)

x axis:Likelihood %
y axis:Potential Impact %
z axis:Color (yellow to green) Technical Analysis %


Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: Is SMSI Smith Micro Software stock buy or sell?
A: When an issuer has a shared revolving credit facility with a captive finance entity, for purposes of calculating the issuer's liquidity sources, we net outstanding commercial paper at the captive from the revolver's borrowing availability. In these cases, we generally use an estimate of peak CP borrowings at the captive to avoid potentially overstating sources available to the issuer over a 12- to 24-month period.
Q: Is SMSI Smith Micro Software stock expected to go up?
A: Under times of stress, such actions could include dividend cuts, suspension of share repurchases, or maintenance of minimum cash balances. This is particularly relevant for exceptional and strong assessments, where issuers are required to carry higher levels of excess liquidity even during times of stress. For example, when assessing liquidity, we would generally expect companies to be able to cover the full amount of dividends and share repurchases included in our base-case forecast, while still maintaining excess liquidity and achieving the required A/B and A-B measures under a stress case.
Q: What is the forecast for SMSI Smith Micro Software ?
A: When assessing strong or exceptional liquidity, we include all forecasted capital expenditures over the next 24 months, including discretionary growth capital spending.
Q: What is the consensus rating of SMSI Smith Micro Software ?
A: The consensus rating for SMSI Smith Micro Software is 86.
Q: What are the risks of investing SMSI Smith Micro Software ?
A: We use risk analysis for SMSI Smith Micro Software because of normalized loss rates using default and transition studies for corporate, sovereign, and financial institutions exposures and our assessment of long-term average annualized through-the-cycle expected losses informed by historical losses for retail and personal exposures. This normalized, through-the-cycle loss estimate is more conservative than an expected loss calculation based on a shorter time horizon, which might exclude periods of recession


AC Investment Research

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