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Should I Buy NASDAQ:VEON Stock? (10% Forecasted Return) | VEON VEON Ltd. Stock Forecast



Given the earnings volatility companies experience, we have specified for these issuers a more stringent decline in EBITDA percentage for each liquidity category to the extent our cash flow forecasts are not already assuming a downside scenario.Our liquidity uses include dividends and share repurchases that we expect under a stress scenario. Unlike other potential uses of liquidity, such as debt maturities or maintenance capital spending, we view dividends and share repurchases as more discretionary, although more so for the latter. For this reason, when evaluating a company's liquidity position, we may use a lower estimate of dividends and shareholder repurchases than in our base-case forecast based on our views of management and the company's track record in terms of shareholder returns and maintaining a certain minimum level of liquidity. We estimate VEON VEON Ltd. stock forecast parameters by: Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) with ElasticNet Regression because of the risk or unstable nature of the firm's mix of business, some aspect of the firm's market position, customer confidence sensitivity, or expected revenue stability are materially weaker than average, or represent substantial risk beyond risks captured in the anchor (10% Forecasted Return)

NASDAQ:VEON Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) as of 23 Jun 2022 for (n+16 weeks)

Stock: VEON VEON Ltd.

Time series to forecast n: 23 Jun 2022 for (n+16 weeks)

x axis:Likelihood %
y axis:Potential Impact %
z axis:Color (yellow to green) Technical Analysis %

Stock Forecast Criteria and Models for VEON VEON Ltd.

  • When netting DTAs and DTLs, we exclude DTLs related to goodwill and intangibles and pensions because they are already accounted for when adjusting for such items.
  • Whenever guarantee funds contributions are not disclosed separately, we typically determine these exposures as a flat percentage of trade and initial margins exposures, with a multiplier calibrated conservatively on a sample of representative entities.
  • We do not make adjustments for the impact of foreign exchange translation gains or losses recorded within equity and included under other comprehensive income under U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP). These gains or losses are reflected in ACE and TAC.
  • If an entity reports aggregate counterparty risk as an exposure separately from the reported exposure on any specific asset class, RACF would consider 50% of the aggregate exposure as exposure to financial institutions and 50% as exposure to corporates (unless we have more granular information).
  • The instrument will be classified as having no equity content if there is material uncertainty regarding whether the issuer will 1) keep it (or its replacement) outstanding for a sufficiently long period and 2) use it to absorb losses or conserve cash when needed.
  • We deduct reported goodwill and nonservicing intangible assets from reported equity to calculate ACE, net of any related deferred tax (i.e., by adding back the associated deferred tax liability);
  • In addition, for sovereign obligors, consideration of political risks may include an assessment of the potential for war, revolution, or other security-related events to affect creditworthiness. Other qualitative considerations that may be part of an analysis of a governmental obligor include revenue forecasting, expenditure control, long-term capital planning, debt management, and contingency planning. Finally, the assessment of a governmental obligor focuses on the potential that the obligor might default even when it has the resources to meet its financial commitments.

Assumptions Underlying The Forecast Model for VEON VEON Ltd.

For example, if a company incurred a large working capital inflow in the fourth quarter, which more than offset working capital outflows during the first three quarters, we would use the peak working capital outflows within our A/B and A-B calculation. However, we avoid double-counting when the working capital outflow is already captured through our assumption of peak CP amount.

Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: Is VEON VEON Ltd. stock buy or sell?
A: Given the earnings volatility companies experience, we have specified for these issuers a more stringent decline in EBITDA percentage for each liquidity category to the extent our cash flow forecasts are not already assuming a downside scenario.
Q: Is VEON VEON Ltd. stock expected to go up?
A: Our liquidity uses include dividends and share repurchases that we expect under a stress scenario. Unlike other potential uses of liquidity, such as debt maturities or maintenance capital spending, we view dividends and share repurchases as more discretionary, although more so for the latter. For this reason, when evaluating a company's liquidity position, we may use a lower estimate of dividends and shareholder repurchases than in our base-case forecast based on our views of management and the company's track record in terms of shareholder returns and maintaining a certain minimum level of liquidity.
Q: What is the forecast for VEON VEON Ltd. ?
A: For example, if a company incurred a large working capital inflow in the fourth quarter, which more than offset working capital outflows during the first three quarters, we would use the peak working capital outflows within our A/B and A-B calculation. However, we avoid double-counting when the working capital outflow is already captured through our assumption of peak CP amount.
Q: What is the consensus rating of VEON VEON Ltd. ?
A: The consensus rating for VEON VEON Ltd. is 83.
Q: What are the risks of investing VEON VEON Ltd. ?
A: We use risk analysis for VEON VEON Ltd. because of the risk or unstable nature of the firm's mix of business, some aspect of the firm's market position, customer confidence sensitivity, or expected revenue stability are materially weaker than average, or represent substantial risk beyond risks captured in the anchor


VEON VEON Ltd.