ac investment research

Should I Buy NSE:ARCHIDPLY Stock? (17% Forecasted Return) | ARCHIDPLY Archidply Industries Limited Stock Forecast



Given the earnings volatility companies experience, we have specified for these issuers a more stringent decline in EBITDA percentage for each liquidity category to the extent our cash flow forecasts are not already assuming a downside scenario.In these cases, the level of capital expenditures will be lower than estimates in our base-case forecast to determine an issuer's financial risk profile, particularly for companies that are pursuing discrete growth projects that have not been committed or can be easily curtailed in case of a need to preserve cash. We estimate ARCHIDPLY Archidply Industries Limited stock forecast parameters by: Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) with Linear Regression because business model transition (17% Forecasted Return)

NSE:ARCHIDPLY Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) as of 21 Jun 2022 for (n+8 weeks)

Stock: ARCHIDPLY Archidply Industries Limited

Time series to forecast n: 21 Jun 2022 for (n+8 weeks)

x axis:Likelihood %
y axis:Potential Impact %
z axis:Color (yellow to green) Technical Analysis %

Stock Forecast Criteria and Models for ARCHIDPLY Archidply Industries Limited

  • ACE excludes the goodwill on acquired businesses to reflect a consistent treatment of the market value of an entity's business units, which does not depend on whether the entity acquires the businesses (in which case, goodwill is reported as an asset) or develops them internally (in which case, there is no goodwill).
  • We expect financial institutions to price their products and services such that they can provision for the losses we expect, on average, in benign periods of a typical economic cycle and still generate positive earnings.
  • For the purposes of these criteria, we consider all capital investments in insurance subsidiaries, and, thus, we deduct capital instruments, including common equity and subordinated debt (all regulatory Tier capital instruments, as long as they are issued out of the insurance subsidiary and held by the financial institution group).
  • For entities that do not publish the Basel III regulatory CVA charge (for example, because they are not domiciled in Basel III jurisdictions) but exceed the above thresholds, we compute the RAC CVA charge as a percentage of derivatives receivables (asset side of the balance sheet), with multipliers calibrated on a set of representative banks.
  • A financing subsidiary of a financial institution or corporate group may be assessed as core when it plays an integral role in group financing, its sole activity is to raise debt on behalf of the group, and it is wholly owned. Such subsidiaries often share a related corporate name with their parents.
  • Derivatives receivables represent more than 3% of total assets for entities reporting under IFRS (or under local GAAP similar to IFRS for the accounting of derivatives) and are domiciled in countries for which our BICRA group is '1' to '4'.
  • An entity can be rated above the sovereign foreign currency rating if, in our view, there is an appreciable likelihood that it would not default if the sovereign were to default. For entities where the sovereign is rated 'A+' or lower, we apply a simulated sovereign stress scenario.

Assumptions Underlying The Forecast Model for ARCHIDPLY Archidply Industries Limited

If a company has a credit put that causes debt acceleration or collateral posting due to a downgrade of three notches or less, we would include these requirements under uses of liquidity, per paragraph 30 of the liquidity criteria. For example, if a 'BBB' rated company had a credit put that was triggered with a downgrade to speculative grade, we would include the corresponding cash requirement under uses of liquidity. This is because the criteria evaluate a company's liquidity position during times of stress, when potential downgrades are more likely.

Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: Is ARCHIDPLY Archidply Industries Limited stock buy or sell?
A: Given the earnings volatility companies experience, we have specified for these issuers a more stringent decline in EBITDA percentage for each liquidity category to the extent our cash flow forecasts are not already assuming a downside scenario.
Q: Is ARCHIDPLY Archidply Industries Limited stock expected to go up?
A: In these cases, the level of capital expenditures will be lower than estimates in our base-case forecast to determine an issuer's financial risk profile, particularly for companies that are pursuing discrete growth projects that have not been committed or can be easily curtailed in case of a need to preserve cash.
Q: What is the forecast for ARCHIDPLY Archidply Industries Limited ?
A: If a company has a credit put that causes debt acceleration or collateral posting due to a downgrade of three notches or less, we would include these requirements under uses of liquidity, per paragraph 30 of the liquidity criteria. For example, if a 'BBB' rated company had a credit put that was triggered with a downgrade to speculative grade, we would include the corresponding cash requirement under uses of liquidity. This is because the criteria evaluate a company's liquidity position during times of stress, when potential downgrades are more likely.
Q: What is the consensus rating of ARCHIDPLY Archidply Industries Limited ?
A: The consensus rating for ARCHIDPLY Archidply Industries Limited is 86.
Q: What are the risks of investing ARCHIDPLY Archidply Industries Limited ?
A: We use risk analysis for ARCHIDPLY Archidply Industries Limited because business model transition


ARCHIDPLY Archidply Industries Limited
AC Investment Research

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