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Should I Buy NSE:CDSL Stock? (18% Forecasted Return) | CDSL Central Depository Services (India) Limited Stock Forecast



Our view of a company's financial policy is an important input when assessing its current and future liquidity position. For instance, we assess whether a company has historically had a higher risk appetite and an aggressive acquisition strategy that has strained its liquidity position, or whether it has taken actions to preserve liquidity in past downturns.We do not include potential future debt issuances as a source of liquidity because of the uncertainty of a company's ability to access debt markets in times of financial stress, even for investment-grade issuers. For instance, in the case of a proposed financing, with the intended use of proceeds to repay existing debt, we will assess a company's liquidity excluding the proposed financing until it's obtained or fully underwritten.In this scenario, we would still include the existing debt maturity as a use of liquidity in our A/B and A-B calculations, if the debt matures within the corresponding liquidity horizon. The rationale is that our liquidity assessment is essentially a stress test against a sudden and severe loss of capital markets access availability. For companies with an anchor of at least 'bbb-' that meet certain characteristics, as outlined in paragraphs 38 and 39 of the criteria, we may use a shorter three- to six-month time horizon when assessing upcoming maturities. We estimate CDSL Central Depository Services (India) Limited stock forecast parameters by: Exponential Moving Average (EMA) with Stepwise Regression because of a weaker market position, higher risk, or more confidence-sensitive mix of business is only partially offset by any strengths, and this leads us to expect weaker revenue stability relative to peers, thus demonstrating modest incremental risk above what is captured in the anchor (18% Forecasted Return)

NSE:CDSL Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) as of 20 Jun 2022 for (n+16 weeks)

Stock: CDSL Central Depository Services (India) Limited

Time series to forecast n: 20 Jun 2022 for (n+16 weeks)

x axis:Likelihood %
y axis:Potential Impact %
z axis:Color (yellow to green) Technical Analysis %


Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: Is CDSL Central Depository Services (India) Limited stock buy or sell?
A: Our view of a company's financial policy is an important input when assessing its current and future liquidity position. For instance, we assess whether a company has historically had a higher risk appetite and an aggressive acquisition strategy that has strained its liquidity position, or whether it has taken actions to preserve liquidity in past downturns.
Q: Is CDSL Central Depository Services (India) Limited stock expected to go up?
A: We do not include potential future debt issuances as a source of liquidity because of the uncertainty of a company's ability to access debt markets in times of financial stress, even for investment-grade issuers. For instance, in the case of a proposed financing, with the intended use of proceeds to repay existing debt, we will assess a company's liquidity excluding the proposed financing until it's obtained or fully underwritten.
Q: What is the forecast for CDSL Central Depository Services (India) Limited ?
A: In this scenario, we would still include the existing debt maturity as a use of liquidity in our A/B and A-B calculations, if the debt matures within the corresponding liquidity horizon. The rationale is that our liquidity assessment is essentially a stress test against a sudden and severe loss of capital markets access availability. For companies with an anchor of at least 'bbb-' that meet certain characteristics, as outlined in paragraphs 38 and 39 of the criteria, we may use a shorter three- to six-month time horizon when assessing upcoming maturities.
Q: What is the consensus rating of CDSL Central Depository Services (India) Limited ?
A: The consensus rating for CDSL Central Depository Services (India) Limited is 75.
Q: What are the risks of investing CDSL Central Depository Services (India) Limited ?
A: We use risk analysis for CDSL Central Depository Services (India) Limited because of a weaker market position, higher risk, or more confidence-sensitive mix of business is only partially offset by any strengths, and this leads us to expect weaker revenue stability relative to peers, thus demonstrating modest incremental risk above what is captured in the anchor


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In our experiment, we focus on an approach known as Decision making using game theory. We apply principles from game theory to model the relationships between rating actions, news, market signals and decision making.

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