ac investment research

Should I Buy NSE:PAEL Stock? (6% Forecasted Return) | PAEL PAE Limited Stock Forecast



Given that it can be difficult to identify outstanding CP at any point in time, when considering coverage, we may include our expectations for peak outstanding CP during the year as opposed to CP balances as of the last filing date, especially if we believe reported balances are not reflective of typical borrowing patterns.Investments should be able to be quickly liquidated without requiring deep discounts to their carrying value. This does not preclude long-term investments from being included. It does, however, exclude large stakes in non-liquid equity investments. We estimate PAEL PAE Limited stock forecast parameters by: Bollinger Bands %B with Wilcoxon Sign-Rank Test because of derivatives receivables represent more than 5% of total assets for entities reporting under IFRS (or under local GAAP similar to IFRS for the accounting of derivatives) and are domiciled in countries for which our BICRA group is '5' and above. (6% Forecasted Return)

NSE:PAEL Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) as of 22 Jun 2022 for (n+4 weeks)

Stock: PAEL PAE Limited

Time series to forecast n: 22 Jun 2022 for (n+4 weeks)

x axis:Likelihood %
y axis:Potential Impact %
z axis:Color (yellow to green) Technical Analysis %

Stock Forecast Criteria and Models for PAEL PAE Limited

  • We apply a 375% risk weight to MSRs. A feature of the U.S. mortgage securitization market, MSRs represent the fair value of future cash flows for performing specified mortgage servicing activities for other parties.
  • Trends over time and peer comparisons may be part of the quantitative analysis for both business and governmental entities.
  • The rating analysis for structured finance typically includes an analysis of payment structure and cash flow mechanics. This portion of the analysis may involve both assessing the documentation for a security and testing the cash flows using quantitative models.
  • If a breakdown of revenues by business line is not available, we apply a 188% risk weight to the highest annual revenue of the past three years, net of revenues from insurance subsidiaries (if any).
  • Financial institutions face risks that arise from their balance sheets and operations. They manage these through their risk management and governance, and they shield senior bondholders from these risks using their capital and earnings. We expect that in a typical economic cycle, on average, firms will have earnings sufficient to absorb normal (or expected) losses.
  • Based on our assessment of the relationship between the issuer and its government or group, we form an opinion on the likelihood of timely and sufficient extraordinary intervention in support of the issuer meeting its financial obligations.
  • In our view, the creditworthiness of financial institutions is generally lower than the creditworthiness of the sovereigns in which the financial institutions are domiciled. To reflect this, the RAC risk weight pertaining to financial institutions is generally the higher of the RAC risk weight derived from table 5 or the RAC risk weight corresponding to the foreign currency rating on the sovereign in which the entity is domiciled

Assumptions Underlying The Forecast Model for PAEL PAE Limited

We do not include asset sales as a source of liquidity unless they are contracted and proceeds will be received in the time period being measured under the liquidity descriptor (even when the disposed assets are reported under discontinued operations in a company's financial statements).

Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: Is PAEL PAE Limited stock buy or sell?
A: Given that it can be difficult to identify outstanding CP at any point in time, when considering coverage, we may include our expectations for peak outstanding CP during the year as opposed to CP balances as of the last filing date, especially if we believe reported balances are not reflective of typical borrowing patterns.
Q: Is PAEL PAE Limited stock expected to go up?
A: Investments should be able to be quickly liquidated without requiring deep discounts to their carrying value. This does not preclude long-term investments from being included. It does, however, exclude large stakes in non-liquid equity investments.
Q: What is the forecast for PAEL PAE Limited ?
A: We do not include asset sales as a source of liquidity unless they are contracted and proceeds will be received in the time period being measured under the liquidity descriptor (even when the disposed assets are reported under discontinued operations in a company's financial statements).
Q: What is the consensus rating of PAEL PAE Limited ?
A: The consensus rating for PAEL PAE Limited is 91.
Q: What are the risks of investing PAEL PAE Limited ?
A: We use risk analysis for PAEL PAE Limited because of derivatives receivables represent more than 5% of total assets for entities reporting under IFRS (or under local GAAP similar to IFRS for the accounting of derivatives) and are domiciled in countries for which our BICRA group is '5' and above.


PAEL PAE Limited
AC Investment Research

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