ac investment research

Should I Buy NYSE:ARDC Stock? (8% Forecasted Return) | ARDC Ares Dynamic Credit Allocation Fund Stock Forecast



While we only include contractual acquisitions when calculating A/B and A-B, when evaluating qualitative factors, we focus more on a company's track record and our expectation for financial management. In this respect, the quantitative and qualitative factors under the liquidity criteria are meant to complement each other and produce a more comprehensive view of a company's future liquidity position.We do not treat repayments of leases as debt maturities (even if International Financial Reporting Standard 16 shows them as such in the cash flow statement) because we already have reduced FFO by such lease cash outflow. We estimate ARDC Ares Dynamic Credit Allocation Fund stock forecast parameters by: Williams %R with ANOVA because of capital metrics would not be eroded by any of the following: repayment of government-contributed equity, recognition of any currently unrecognized economic losses, reduction from capital the amount necessary to appropriately capitalize any materially undercapitalized unconsolidated subsidiaries, and reversal of any property valuation adjustment (8% Forecasted Return)

NYSE:ARDC Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) as of 23 Jun 2022 for (n+6 month)

Stock: ARDC Ares Dynamic Credit Allocation Fund

Time series to forecast n: 23 Jun 2022 for (n+6 month)

x axis:Likelihood %
y axis:Potential Impact %
z axis:Color (yellow to green) Technical Analysis %

Stock Forecast Criteria and Models for ARDC Ares Dynamic Credit Allocation Fund

  • In cases where a shareholder agreement or similar arrangement exists that we believe would prevent an otherwise controlling parent from directing the strategy and cash flows of a group member, we may assess that control is not present. When we determine control is not present, we would typically treat the member as an equity affiliate and consider only the projected dividend flows from that member in our group SACP assessment.
  • A potential ICR on a group member that is lower than its SACP reflects our view that if the group or relevant government were in a credit-stress scenario, the group or government would draw resources from the group member (an example of extraordinary negative intervention), thereby weakening its creditworthiness.
  • We apply risk weights to government and securitization exposures based on the rating on the sovereign or securitization. Market risk exposures are a combination of trading book risk and price volatility risk on equity exposures. We apply risk weights to regulatory capital requirement figures for trading risk as well as to institutions' equity investments, the latter based on our estimate of the volatility of stock prices in the different countries. We apply risk weights to revenue or assets under management (AUM) and assets under custody (AUC) to account for operational risks.
  • Notching also applies to the structural subordination of debt issued by operating subsidiaries or holding companies that are part of an enterprise viewed as a single economic entity. For example, the debt of a holding company may be rated lower than the debt of its subsidiaries that have the enterprise's assets and cash flows. We extend the notching approach to analyzing the creditworthiness of instruments involving payment priority. For example, we would generally rate preferred stock and so-called hybrid capital instruments lower than senior debt to indicate that payment could be deferred.
  • Our view on the credit quality of a pool of assets may change over time. The performance of the pool may diverge from expectations and that divergence may reveal credit strengths or weakness that were not previously apparent.
  • In jurisdictions where the regulators have expressed no view on a specific hybrid capital instrument, we will base our assessment on our view of the likely regulatory policy with respect to the instrument. For instruments that are included in regulatory capital, including those that are grandfathered by the regulators, we assess the hybrid instrument in line with the remainder of these criteria.
  • RACF breaks credit risk down into five categories: governments, financial sector, corporate sector, retail and personal sector, and securitizations. It then accounts for the impact of collateral and other risk mitigation.

Assumptions Underlying The Forecast Model for ARDC Ares Dynamic Credit Allocation Fund

We believe that when a company is viewed as being on the cusp between two liquidity descriptors and has higher-than-average cash plus inventory/unadjusted debt compared with similarly constituted peers, that helps support the better liquidity assessment. However, in the case of a nonresidential developer, given that its inventory is typically less liquid (and the greater potential for inventory to suffer value erosion in a downturn), we do not consider this measure as pertinent.

Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: Is ARDC Ares Dynamic Credit Allocation Fund stock buy or sell?
A: While we only include contractual acquisitions when calculating A/B and A-B, when evaluating qualitative factors, we focus more on a company's track record and our expectation for financial management. In this respect, the quantitative and qualitative factors under the liquidity criteria are meant to complement each other and produce a more comprehensive view of a company's future liquidity position.
Q: Is ARDC Ares Dynamic Credit Allocation Fund stock expected to go up?
A: We do not treat repayments of leases as debt maturities (even if International Financial Reporting Standard 16 shows them as such in the cash flow statement) because we already have reduced FFO by such lease cash outflow.
Q: What is the forecast for ARDC Ares Dynamic Credit Allocation Fund ?
A: We believe that when a company is viewed as being on the cusp between two liquidity descriptors and has higher-than-average cash plus inventory/unadjusted debt compared with similarly constituted peers, that helps support the better liquidity assessment. However, in the case of a nonresidential developer, given that its inventory is typically less liquid (and the greater potential for inventory to suffer value erosion in a downturn), we do not consider this measure as pertinent.
Q: What is the consensus rating of ARDC Ares Dynamic Credit Allocation Fund ?
A: The consensus rating for ARDC Ares Dynamic Credit Allocation Fund is 76.
Q: What are the risks of investing ARDC Ares Dynamic Credit Allocation Fund ?
A: We use risk analysis for ARDC Ares Dynamic Credit Allocation Fund because of capital metrics would not be eroded by any of the following: repayment of government-contributed equity, recognition of any currently unrecognized economic losses, reduction from capital the amount necessary to appropriately capitalize any materially undercapitalized unconsolidated subsidiaries, and reversal of any property valuation adjustment


ARDC Ares Dynamic Credit Allocation Fund

People Also Ask







AC Investment Research

In our experiment, we focus on an approach known as Decision making using game theory. We apply principles from game theory to model the relationships between rating actions, news, market signals and decision making.

301 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02139 667-253-1000 pr@ademcetinkaya.com