ac investment research

Should I Buy NYSE:GRUB Stock? (20% Forecasted Return) | GRUB GrubHub Inc. Stock Forecast



We do not exclude cash that the company needs to maintain to run the business and meet potential working capital requirements. Since working capital outflows are included under uses (B) of liquidity, system-related cash needed to run the business should be included in sources, along with items such as customer advances.Additionally, we exclude revolver borrowing availability that we believe would be inaccessible due to covenant constraints. For revolving credit facilities with extension options, we include the extension period(s) under sources of liquidity only if the option is at the discretion of the borrower. If lenders have the option to terminate commitments at each extension point, we only include the borrowing availability under the facility up to the first extension date. We estimate GRUB GrubHub Inc. stock forecast parameters by: KDJ with Simple Regression because the steps to carry out a bail-in of that type of liability would involve such high operational complexities that would make its bail-in unlikely in a reasonable time (20% Forecasted Return)

NYSE:GRUB Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) as of 23 Jun 2022 for (n+16 weeks)

Stock: GRUB GrubHub Inc.

Time series to forecast n: 23 Jun 2022 for (n+16 weeks)

x axis:Likelihood %
y axis:Potential Impact %
z axis:Color (yellow to green) Technical Analysis %

Stock Forecast Criteria and Models for GRUB GrubHub Inc.

  • Financial institutions face risks that arise from their balance sheets and operations. They manage these through their risk management and governance, and they shield senior bondholders from these risks using their capital and earnings. We expect that in a typical economic cycle, on average, firms will have earnings sufficient to absorb normal (or expected) losses.
  • For some asset classes, the estimation may proceed in stages: We might separately estimate asset default frequencies and loss severities under extreme stress conditions and then combine those components to form the overall loss estimate.
  • The risk of posting losses due to the default of derivatives counterparties is captured in RACF through the charges applicable to the type of counterparties (sovereign, corporates, or financial institutions).
  • Derivatives receivables represent more than 3% of total assets for entities reporting under IFRS (or under local GAAP similar to IFRS for the accounting of derivatives) and are domiciled in countries for which our BICRA group is '1' to '4'.
  • We determine normalized loss rates using default and transition studies for corporate, sovereign, and financial institutions exposures and our assessment of long-term average annualized through-the-cycle expected losses informed by historical losses for retail and personal exposures. This normalized, through-the-cycle loss estimate is more conservative than an expected loss calculation based on a shorter time horizon, which might exclude periods of recession.
  • In instances where we do not have a global scale rating for securitization tranches (or are unable to infer it for any reason), but we do have the breakdown between senior and non-senior tranches, we may reclassify the most senior tranche of a securitized portfolio and treat it as part of the underlying asset class.
  • In addition, for sovereign obligors, consideration of political risks may include an assessment of the potential for war, revolution, or other security-related events to affect creditworthiness. Other qualitative considerations that may be part of an analysis of a governmental obligor include revenue forecasting, expenditure control, long-term capital planning, debt management, and contingency planning. Finally, the assessment of a governmental obligor focuses on the potential that the obligor might default even when it has the resources to meet its financial commitments.

Assumptions Underlying The Forecast Model for GRUB GrubHub Inc.

We do not assume future debt refinancing or the rolling over of CP, regardless of the company's perceived credit strength or issuer credit rating. For instance, even for investment-grade issuers, we do not assume future debt maturities are refinanced with potential uncommitted capital raises. We could, however, consider a shorter time horizon.

Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: Is GRUB GrubHub Inc. stock buy or sell?
A: We do not exclude cash that the company needs to maintain to run the business and meet potential working capital requirements. Since working capital outflows are included under uses (B) of liquidity, system-related cash needed to run the business should be included in sources, along with items such as customer advances.
Q: Is GRUB GrubHub Inc. stock expected to go up?
A: Additionally, we exclude revolver borrowing availability that we believe would be inaccessible due to covenant constraints. For revolving credit facilities with extension options, we include the extension period(s) under sources of liquidity only if the option is at the discretion of the borrower. If lenders have the option to terminate commitments at each extension point, we only include the borrowing availability under the facility up to the first extension date.
Q: What is the forecast for GRUB GrubHub Inc. ?
A: We do not assume future debt refinancing or the rolling over of CP, regardless of the company's perceived credit strength or issuer credit rating. For instance, even for investment-grade issuers, we do not assume future debt maturities are refinanced with potential uncommitted capital raises. We could, however, consider a shorter time horizon.
Q: What is the consensus rating of GRUB GrubHub Inc. ?
A: The consensus rating for GRUB GrubHub Inc. is 69.
Q: What are the risks of investing GRUB GrubHub Inc. ?
A: We use risk analysis for GRUB GrubHub Inc. because the steps to carry out a bail-in of that type of liability would involve such high operational complexities that would make its bail-in unlikely in a reasonable time


GRUB GrubHub Inc.
AC Investment Research

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