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Should I Buy NYSE:SPB Stock? (21% Forecasted Return) | SPB Spectrum Brands Holdings Stock Forecast



Other factors we consider include a company's frequency of debt issuance and market access, especially during times of company-specific stress or credit market turbulence.When calculating sources of liquidity, we only include the undrawn, available portion of committed bank lines maturing beyond the specified time horizon for each liquidity descriptor. For example, when assessing liquidity as adequate, we only include a committed revolving credit facility as a source if it matured beyond the next 12 months. Similarly, given that our liquidity assessment looks out over two years when assessing liquidity as strong or exceptional, we only include a facility maturing beyond 24 months as a source of liquidity. We estimate SPB Spectrum Brands Holdings stock forecast parameters by: Price with Polynomial Regression bacause the bail-in of that type of liability would not provide any economic benefit to the resolution or would even destroy value (21% Forecasted Return)

NYSE:SPB Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) as of 23 Jun 2022 for (n+8 weeks)

Stock: SPB Spectrum Brands Holdings

Time series to forecast n: 23 Jun 2022 for (n+8 weeks)

x axis:Likelihood %
y axis:Potential Impact %
z axis:Color (yellow to green) Technical Analysis %

Stock Forecast Criteria and Models for SPB Spectrum Brands Holdings

  • In instances where we do not have a global scale rating for securitization tranches (or are unable to infer it for any reason), but we do have the breakdown between senior and non-senior tranches, we may reclassify the most senior tranche of a securitized portfolio and treat it as part of the underlying asset class.
  • For governmental entities, the quantitative factors we assess are different from the factors we assess for business entities; they generally include both economic factors and budgetary and financial performance, as well as additional items for sovereign obligors. The economic side of the analysis typically encompasses demographics, wealth, and growth prospects. The budgetary and financial side generally includes budget reserves, external liquidity, and structural budget performance. For sovereign obligors, additional quantitative factors that may, in our view, be relevant to our analysis include fiscal policy flexibility, monetary policy flexibility, international investment position, and contingent liabilities associated with potential support for the financial sector.
  • RACF does not adjust related exposures for nonfinancial collateral other than gold. This reflects our concerns about discrepancies among the valuation methodologies institutions may use and that we have already factored typical loan collateralization into our industry benchmarks for corporate exposures.
  • Obligated groups are created for purposes of securing debt, and do not have operating or governance independence from the larger group. While debt covenants may contain some restrictions, for example limitations on the transfer of assets out of the obligated group, covenants are generally not strong enough to insulate the obligated group from the strategic and operating influence of the group. An obligated group, therefore, is typically not rated higher than the GCP.
  • Hybrids issued by operating subsidiaries that cannot benefit the wider group in this way are treated as having no equity content in our group consolidated analysis. If, however, they can absorb losses or conserve cash at the issuer level, they are eligible for equity content in our analysis of the operating subsidiary on a stand-alone basis.
  • If a breakdown of revenues by business line is not available, we apply a 188% risk weight to the highest annual revenue of the past three years, net of revenues from insurance subsidiaries (if any).
  • Revenue-based risk weights:Our risk weights to account for operational risk for different business lines are based on the revenue these businesses generate (see table 12). We apply risk weights based on the highest annual revenue of the past three years. This is intended to accommodate recent activities and growth momentum and to avoid providing capital relief to entities that experienced a recent drop in revenues as a consequence of operational or trading losses.

Assumptions Underlying The Forecast Model for SPB Spectrum Brands Holdings

To assess forecasted working capital outflows for companies with material intra-year working capital requirements (for example, companies in seasonal businesses), we use forecasted peak working capital outflows, per paragraph 32 of the liquidity criteria. For seasonal businesses, in many cases the annual projection might indicate a working capital inflow or neutral working capital, even though there could be material intra-quarter or inter-quarter outflows throughout the year.

Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: Is SPB Spectrum Brands Holdings stock buy or sell?
A: Other factors we consider include a company's frequency of debt issuance and market access, especially during times of company-specific stress or credit market turbulence.
Q: Is SPB Spectrum Brands Holdings stock expected to go up?
A: When calculating sources of liquidity, we only include the undrawn, available portion of committed bank lines maturing beyond the specified time horizon for each liquidity descriptor. For example, when assessing liquidity as adequate, we only include a committed revolving credit facility as a source if it matured beyond the next 12 months. Similarly, given that our liquidity assessment looks out over two years when assessing liquidity as strong or exceptional, we only include a facility maturing beyond 24 months as a source of liquidity.
Q: What is the forecast for SPB Spectrum Brands Holdings ?
A: To assess forecasted working capital outflows for companies with material intra-year working capital requirements (for example, companies in seasonal businesses), we use forecasted peak working capital outflows, per paragraph 32 of the liquidity criteria. For seasonal businesses, in many cases the annual projection might indicate a working capital inflow or neutral working capital, even though there could be material intra-quarter or inter-quarter outflows throughout the year.
Q: What is the consensus rating of SPB Spectrum Brands Holdings ?
A: The consensus rating for SPB Spectrum Brands Holdings is 89.
Q: What are the risks of investing SPB Spectrum Brands Holdings ?
A: We use risk analysis for SPB Spectrum Brands Holdings bacause the bail-in of that type of liability would not provide any economic benefit to the resolution or would even destroy value


SPB Spectrum Brands Holdings
AC Investment Research

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