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Should I Buy NYSE:TAL Stock? (9% Forecasted Return) | TAL TAL International Group Stock Forecast



If, for example, a facility matured in 18 months, we could include the borrowing availability as a source of liquidity in year one, but exclude the amount in year two under the exceptional and strong descriptors (as well as include any drawn portions as debt maturities under uses of liquidity). This is because we do not assume an extension of bank lines--regardless of the company's perceived credit strength or issuer credit rating. For instance, whether the issuer credit rating on the company is speculative grade or investment grade, we do not assume bank lines will be extended beyond the current stated maturity.We do not exclude cash that the company needs to maintain to run the business and meet potential working capital requirements. Since working capital outflows are included under uses (B) of liquidity, system-related cash needed to run the business should be included in sources, along with items such as customer advances. We estimate TAL TAL International Group stock forecast parameters by: Armstrong Oscillator with Beta because of management has no or few defined standards and tolerances and little risk management capability (9% Forecasted Return)

NYSE:TAL Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) as of 22 Jun 2022 for (n+6 month)

Stock: TAL TAL International Group

Time series to forecast n: 22 Jun 2022 for (n+6 month)

x axis:Likelihood %
y axis:Potential Impact %
z axis:Color (yellow to green) Technical Analysis %

Stock Forecast Criteria and Models for TAL TAL International Group

  • ACE does not include any hybrid capital instruments reported under "minority interest: equity" on an entity's balance sheet. Subject to our criteria for the equity content of hybrids, we may include these instruments in our definition of TAC.
  • For corporates, the country of domicile may still be relevant. We may use the country of domicile as the reference point in some cases--for instance, for globally diversified multinational companies operating in a large number of countries, if we believe there is no material exposure to a single country.
  • In many securitization transactions, a key step in analyzing the credit quality of the securitized assets is estimating the level of expected losses. The level of expected losses generally corresponds to the amount of credit enhancement associated with the 'B' rating level. Estimation of expected losses generally uses the recent performance of similar assets as a guide. The estimation may include adjustments based on our assessment of current trends, as well as evolving market practices.
  • On a case-specific basis, we may apply the stress test to more than one country, if we consider the entity to have material exposure to two or more countries. When applying the stress test to more than one country at a time, we might assume the stress affects two or more countries at the same time if we consider economic correlation among the countries to be significant. Should an entity fail the stress test, we would cap the rating at the foreign currency rating on the lowest-rated country for which it failed the test. If we determine that the issuer has no material single-country exposure to a country whose sovereign is rated lower than the potential rating, we may not apply a stress test.
  • Where a financial institution or insurance company has exposure in excess of about 50% concentrated in its country of domicile, we generally consider it highly likely that the entity would fail a stress test associated with a sovereign foreign currency default. As a result, we would not undertake the stress test unless we saw strong idiosyncratic reasons that could potentially cause the entity to pass the test.
  • Entities that have regulatory-approved internal market risk models but are not domiciled in Basel 2.5 jurisdictions:For banks with value at risk (VaR) models validated for general risk only, we apply a 3.0 multiplier to the regulatory capital requirement figure. This is to align the VaR charge with a one-year horizon and make it consistent with a 99.9% confidence level. The multiplier includes a 50% add-on to account for extreme (fat-tail) events in a hypothetical portfolio consisting of equities, interest rate positions, commodities, and foreign exchange.
  • If a financial institution reports treasury stock as an asset, we deduct this figure from total shareholders' equity to produce a consistent measure of the resources available to absorb losses.

Assumptions Underlying The Forecast Model for TAL TAL International Group

In these cases, the level of capital expenditures will be lower than estimates in our base-case forecast to determine an issuer's financial risk profile, particularly for companies that are pursuing discrete growth projects that have not been committed or can be easily curtailed in case of a need to preserve cash.

Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: Is TAL TAL International Group stock buy or sell?
A: If, for example, a facility matured in 18 months, we could include the borrowing availability as a source of liquidity in year one, but exclude the amount in year two under the exceptional and strong descriptors (as well as include any drawn portions as debt maturities under uses of liquidity). This is because we do not assume an extension of bank lines--regardless of the company's perceived credit strength or issuer credit rating. For instance, whether the issuer credit rating on the company is speculative grade or investment grade, we do not assume bank lines will be extended beyond the current stated maturity.
Q: Is TAL TAL International Group stock expected to go up?
A: We do not exclude cash that the company needs to maintain to run the business and meet potential working capital requirements. Since working capital outflows are included under uses (B) of liquidity, system-related cash needed to run the business should be included in sources, along with items such as customer advances.
Q: What is the forecast for TAL TAL International Group ?
A: In these cases, the level of capital expenditures will be lower than estimates in our base-case forecast to determine an issuer's financial risk profile, particularly for companies that are pursuing discrete growth projects that have not been committed or can be easily curtailed in case of a need to preserve cash.
Q: What is the consensus rating of TAL TAL International Group ?
A: The consensus rating for TAL TAL International Group is 76.
Q: What are the risks of investing TAL TAL International Group ?
A: We use risk analysis for TAL TAL International Group because of management has no or few defined standards and tolerances and little risk management capability


TAL TAL International Group

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