Modelling A.I. in Economics

Buy, sell or hold: LSI Stock Forecast

Abstract

We evaluate Life Storage prediction models with Hartley Oscillator and Spearman Correlation1,2,3,4 and conclude that the LSI stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+8 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold LSI stock.


Keywords: LSI, Life Storage, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.

Key Points

  1. What is prediction in deep learning?
  2. Operational Risk
  3. How accurate is machine learning in stock market?

LSI Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider Life Storage Stock Decision Process with Spearman Correlation where A is the set of discrete actions of LSI stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4


F(Spearman Correlation)5,6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Hartley Oscillator) X S(n):→ (n+8 weeks) i = 1 n s i

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of LSI stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

LSI Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+8 weeks)

Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: LSI Life Storage
Time series to forecast n: 31 Aug 2022 for (n+8 weeks)

According to price forecasts for (n+8 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold LSI stock.

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%


Conclusions

Life Storage assigned short-term Ba3 & long-term B2 forecasted stock rating. We evaluate the prediction models Hartley Oscillator with Spearman Correlation1,2,3,4 and conclude that the LSI stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+8 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold LSI stock.

Financial State Forecast for LSI Stock Options & Futures

Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*Ba3B2
Operational Risk 7450
Market Risk3834
Technical Analysis9056
Fundamental Analysis4861
Risk Unsystematic7068

Prediction Confidence Score

Trust metric by Neural Network: 88 out of 100 with 514 signals.

References

  1. M. Benaim, J. Hofbauer, and S. Sorin. Stochastic approximations and differential inclusions, Part II: Appli- cations. Mathematics of Operations Research, 31(4):673–695, 2006
  2. Mikolov T, Yih W, Zweig G. 2013c. Linguistic regularities in continuous space word representations. In Pro- ceedings of the 2013 Conference of the North American Chapter of the Association for Computational Linguistics: Human Language Technologies, pp. 746–51. New York: Assoc. Comput. Linguist.
  3. D. Bertsekas and J. Tsitsiklis. Neuro-dynamic programming. Athena Scientific, 1996.
  4. G. Shani, R. Brafman, and D. Heckerman. An MDP-based recommender system. In Proceedings of the Eigh- teenth conference on Uncertainty in artificial intelligence, pages 453–460. Morgan Kaufmann Publishers Inc., 2002
  5. Angrist JD, Pischke JS. 2008. Mostly Harmless Econometrics: An Empiricist's Companion. Princeton, NJ: Princeton Univ. Press
  6. Alpaydin E. 2009. Introduction to Machine Learning. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press
  7. Batchelor, R. P. Dua (1993), "Survey vs ARCH measures of inflation uncertainty," Oxford Bulletin of Economics Statistics, 55, 341–353.
Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: What is the prediction methodology for LSI stock?
A: LSI stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Hartley Oscillator and Spearman Correlation
Q: Is LSI stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold LSI Stock.
Q: Is Life Storage stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for Life Storage is Hold and assigned short-term Ba3 & long-term B2 forecasted stock rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of LSI stock?
A: The consensus rating for LSI is Hold.
Q: What is the prediction period for LSI stock?
A: The prediction period for LSI is (n+8 weeks)



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