## Abstract

**We evaluate Assurant prediction models with Modular Neural Network (Market Volatility Analysis) and Ridge Regression ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the AIZ stock is predictable in the short/long term. **

**According to price forecasts for (n+6 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold AIZ stock.**

**AIZ, Assurant, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.**

*Keywords:*## Key Points

- Which neural network is best for prediction?
- Short/Long Term Stocks
- What is prediction model?

## AIZ Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider Assurant Stock Decision Process with Ridge Regression where A is the set of discrete actions of AIZ stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.^{1,2,3,4}

F(Ridge Regression)

^{5,6,7}= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{\mathrm{a}1}& {p}_{\mathrm{a}2}& \dots & {p}_{1n}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{j1}& {p}_{j2}& \dots & {p}_{jn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{k1}& {p}_{k2}& \dots & {p}_{kn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{n1}& {p}_{n2}& \dots & {p}_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Modular Neural Network (Market Volatility Analysis)) X S(n):→ (n+6 month) $\sum _{i=1}^{n}\left({a}_{i}\right)$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of AIZ stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below:

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

## AIZ Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+6 month)

**Sample Set:**Neural Network

**Stock/Index:**AIZ Assurant

**Time series to forecast n: 02 Sep 2022**for (n+6 month)

**According to price forecasts for (n+6 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold AIZ stock.**

**X axis: *Likelihood%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

**Y axis: *Potential Impact%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

**Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%**

## Conclusions

Assurant assigned short-term Ba3 & long-term B1 forecasted stock rating.** We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (Market Volatility Analysis) with Ridge Regression ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the AIZ stock is predictable in the short/long term.**

**According to price forecasts for (n+6 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold AIZ stock.**

### Financial State Forecast for AIZ Stock Options & Futures

Rating | Short-Term | Long-Term Senior |
---|---|---|

Outlook* | Ba3 | B1 |

Operational Risk | 71 | 74 |

Market Risk | 71 | 78 |

Technical Analysis | 58 | 35 |

Fundamental Analysis | 74 | 70 |

Risk Unsystematic | 41 | 45 |

### Prediction Confidence Score

## References

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- Semenova V, Goldman M, Chernozhukov V, Taddy M. 2018. Orthogonal ML for demand estimation: high dimensional causal inference in dynamic panels. arXiv:1712.09988 [stat.ML]
- Athey S, Imbens GW. 2017a. The econometrics of randomized experiments. In Handbook of Economic Field Experiments, Vol. 1, ed. E Duflo, A Banerjee, pp. 73–140. Amsterdam: Elsevier
- Babula, R. A. (1988), "Contemporaneous correlation and modeling Canada's imports of U.S. crops," Journal of Agricultural Economics Research, 41, 33–38.
- Bottou L. 1998. Online learning and stochastic approximations. In On-Line Learning in Neural Networks, ed. D Saad, pp. 9–42. New York: ACM
- S. J. Russell and A. Zimdars. Q-decomposition for reinforcement learning agents. In Machine Learning, Proceedings of the Twentieth International Conference (ICML 2003), August 21-24, 2003, Washington, DC, USA, pages 656–663, 2003.

## Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is the prediction methodology for AIZ stock?A: AIZ stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (Market Volatility Analysis) and Ridge Regression

Q: Is AIZ stock a buy or sell?

A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold AIZ Stock.

Q: Is Assurant stock a good investment?

A: The consensus rating for Assurant is Hold and assigned short-term Ba3 & long-term B1 forecasted stock rating.

Q: What is the consensus rating of AIZ stock?

A: The consensus rating for AIZ is Hold.

Q: What is the prediction period for AIZ stock?

A: The prediction period for AIZ is (n+6 month)

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