BR Options & Futures Prediction


Abstract

We evaluate Broadridge Financial Solutions prediction models with Statistical Inference (ML) and Factor1,2,3,4 and conclude that the BR stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+16 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold BR stock.


Keywords: BR, Broadridge Financial Solutions, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.

Key Points

  1. Can statistics predict the future?
  2. Fundemental Analysis with Algorithmic Trading
  3. Is Target price a good indicator?

BR Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider Broadridge Financial Solutions Stock Decision Process with Factor where A is the set of discrete actions of BR stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4


F(Factor)5,6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Statistical Inference (ML)) X S(n):→ (n+16 weeks) r s rs

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of BR stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

BR Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+16 weeks)

Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: BR Broadridge Financial Solutions
Time series to forecast n: 02 Sep 2022 for (n+16 weeks)

According to price forecasts for (n+16 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold BR stock.

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%


Conclusions

Broadridge Financial Solutions assigned short-term Baa2 & long-term B1 forecasted stock rating. We evaluate the prediction models Statistical Inference (ML) with Factor1,2,3,4 and conclude that the BR stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+16 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold BR stock.

Financial State Forecast for BR Stock Options & Futures

Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*Baa2B1
Operational Risk 6469
Market Risk8370
Technical Analysis6640
Fundamental Analysis8769
Risk Unsystematic7054

Prediction Confidence Score

Trust metric by Neural Network: 72 out of 100 with 650 signals.

References

  1. Athey S, Tibshirani J, Wager S. 2016b. Generalized random forests. arXiv:1610.01271 [stat.ME]
  2. V. Borkar. Q-learning for risk-sensitive control. Mathematics of Operations Research, 27:294–311, 2002.
  3. Clements, M. P. D. F. Hendry (1997), "An empirical study of seasonal unit roots in forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, 13, 341–355.
  4. Athey S, Blei D, Donnelly R, Ruiz F. 2017b. Counterfactual inference for consumer choice across many prod- uct categories. AEA Pap. Proc. 108:64–67
  5. Wan M, Wang D, Goldman M, Taddy M, Rao J, et al. 2017. Modeling consumer preferences and price sensitiv- ities from large-scale grocery shopping transaction logs. In Proceedings of the 26th International Conference on the World Wide Web, pp. 1103–12. New York: ACM
  6. D. Bertsekas. Dynamic programming and optimal control. Athena Scientific, 1995.
  7. R. Sutton and A. Barto. Introduction to reinforcement learning. MIT Press, 1998
Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: What is the prediction methodology for BR stock?
A: BR stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Statistical Inference (ML) and Factor
Q: Is BR stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold BR Stock.
Q: Is Broadridge Financial Solutions stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for Broadridge Financial Solutions is Hold and assigned short-term Baa2 & long-term B1 forecasted stock rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of BR stock?
A: The consensus rating for BR is Hold.
Q: What is the prediction period for BR stock?
A: The prediction period for BR is (n+16 weeks)

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