## Abstract

**We evaluate Interactive Brokers prediction models with Statistical Inference (ML) and ElasticNet Regression ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the IBKR stock is predictable in the short/long term. **

**According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold IBKR stock.**

**IBKR, Interactive Brokers, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.**

*Keywords:*## Key Points

- Buy, Sell and Hold Signals
- Stock Forecast Based On a Predictive Algorithm
- Nash Equilibria

## IBKR Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider Interactive Brokers Stock Decision Process with ElasticNet Regression where A is the set of discrete actions of IBKR stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.^{1,2,3,4}

F(ElasticNet Regression)

^{5,6,7}= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{\mathrm{a}1}& {p}_{\mathrm{a}2}& \dots & {p}_{1n}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{j1}& {p}_{j2}& \dots & {p}_{jn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{k1}& {p}_{k2}& \dots & {p}_{kn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{n1}& {p}_{n2}& \dots & {p}_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Statistical Inference (ML)) X S(n):→ (n+1 year) $\sum _{i=1}^{n}\left({s}_{i}\right)$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of IBKR stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below:

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

## IBKR Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+1 year)

**Sample Set:**Neural Network

**Stock/Index:**IBKR Interactive Brokers

**Time series to forecast n: 03 Sep 2022**for (n+1 year)

**According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold IBKR stock.**

**X axis: *Likelihood%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

**Y axis: *Potential Impact%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

**Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%**

## Conclusions

Interactive Brokers assigned short-term Ba2 & long-term Ba2 forecasted stock rating.** We evaluate the prediction models Statistical Inference (ML) with ElasticNet Regression ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the IBKR stock is predictable in the short/long term.**

**According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold IBKR stock.**

### Financial State Forecast for IBKR Stock Options & Futures

Rating | Short-Term | Long-Term Senior |
---|---|---|

Outlook* | Ba2 | Ba2 |

Operational Risk | 66 | 81 |

Market Risk | 77 | 77 |

Technical Analysis | 40 | 35 |

Fundamental Analysis | 74 | 73 |

Risk Unsystematic | 82 | 75 |

### Prediction Confidence Score

## References

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- Bera, A. M. L. Higgins (1997), "ARCH and bilinearity as competing models for nonlinear dependence," Journal of Business Economic Statistics, 15, 43–50.
- Wan M, Wang D, Goldman M, Taddy M, Rao J, et al. 2017. Modeling consumer preferences and price sensitiv- ities from large-scale grocery shopping transaction logs. In Proceedings of the 26th International Conference on the World Wide Web, pp. 1103–12. New York: ACM
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- Hornik K, Stinchcombe M, White H. 1989. Multilayer feedforward networks are universal approximators. Neural Netw. 2:359–66
- Bessler, D. A. T. Covey (1991), "Cointegration: Some results on U.S. cattle prices," Journal of Futures Markets, 11, 461–474.
- V. Mnih, A. P. Badia, M. Mirza, A. Graves, T. P. Lillicrap, T. Harley, D. Silver, and K. Kavukcuoglu. Asynchronous methods for deep reinforcement learning. In Proceedings of the 33nd International Conference on Machine Learning, ICML 2016, New York City, NY, USA, June 19-24, 2016, pages 1928–1937, 2016

## Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is the prediction methodology for IBKR stock?A: IBKR stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Statistical Inference (ML) and ElasticNet Regression

Q: Is IBKR stock a buy or sell?

A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold IBKR Stock.

Q: Is Interactive Brokers stock a good investment?

A: The consensus rating for Interactive Brokers is Hold and assigned short-term Ba2 & long-term Ba2 forecasted stock rating.

Q: What is the consensus rating of IBKR stock?

A: The consensus rating for IBKR is Hold.

Q: What is the prediction period for IBKR stock?

A: The prediction period for IBKR is (n+1 year)

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