Modelling A.I. in Economics

Buy or Sell: LON:HICL Stock

Abstract

We evaluate HICL INFRASTRUCTURE PLC prediction models with Modular Neural Network (Speculative Sentiment Analysis) and Logistic Regression1,2,3,4 and conclude that the LON:HICL stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold LON:HICL stock.


Keywords: LON:HICL, HICL INFRASTRUCTURE PLC, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.

Key Points

  1. Which neural network is best for prediction?
  2. Trading Interaction
  3. How accurate is machine learning in stock market?

LON:HICL Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider HICL INFRASTRUCTURE PLC Stock Decision Process with Logistic Regression where A is the set of discrete actions of LON:HICL stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4


F(Logistic Regression)5,6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Modular Neural Network (Speculative Sentiment Analysis)) X S(n):→ (n+1 year) i = 1 n r i

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of LON:HICL stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

LON:HICL Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+1 year)

Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: LON:HICL HICL INFRASTRUCTURE PLC
Time series to forecast n: 06 Sep 2022 for (n+1 year)

According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold LON:HICL stock.

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%


Conclusions

HICL INFRASTRUCTURE PLC assigned short-term B3 & long-term Ba3 forecasted stock rating. We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (Speculative Sentiment Analysis) with Logistic Regression1,2,3,4 and conclude that the LON:HICL stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold LON:HICL stock.

Financial State Forecast for LON:HICL Stock Options & Futures

Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*B3Ba3
Operational Risk 4952
Market Risk5351
Technical Analysis3459
Fundamental Analysis8360
Risk Unsystematic3889

Prediction Confidence Score

Trust metric by Neural Network: 85 out of 100 with 586 signals.

References

  1. Burkov A. 2019. The Hundred-Page Machine Learning Book. Quebec City, Can.: Andriy Burkov
  2. F. A. Oliehoek and C. Amato. A Concise Introduction to Decentralized POMDPs. SpringerBriefs in Intelligent Systems. Springer, 2016
  3. Dietterich TG. 2000. Ensemble methods in machine learning. In Multiple Classifier Systems: First International Workshop, Cagliari, Italy, June 21–23, pp. 1–15. Berlin: Springer
  4. Imbens G, Wooldridge J. 2009. Recent developments in the econometrics of program evaluation. J. Econ. Lit. 47:5–86
  5. V. Mnih, A. P. Badia, M. Mirza, A. Graves, T. P. Lillicrap, T. Harley, D. Silver, and K. Kavukcuoglu. Asynchronous methods for deep reinforcement learning. In Proceedings of the 33nd International Conference on Machine Learning, ICML 2016, New York City, NY, USA, June 19-24, 2016, pages 1928–1937, 2016
  6. Canova, F. B. E. Hansen (1995), "Are seasonal patterns constant over time? A test for seasonal stability," Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 13, 237–252.
  7. H. Kushner and G. Yin. Stochastic approximation algorithms and applications. Springer, 1997.
Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: What is the prediction methodology for LON:HICL stock?
A: LON:HICL stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (Speculative Sentiment Analysis) and Logistic Regression
Q: Is LON:HICL stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold LON:HICL Stock.
Q: Is HICL INFRASTRUCTURE PLC stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for HICL INFRASTRUCTURE PLC is Hold and assigned short-term B3 & long-term Ba3 forecasted stock rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of LON:HICL stock?
A: The consensus rating for LON:HICL is Hold.
Q: What is the prediction period for LON:HICL stock?
A: The prediction period for LON:HICL is (n+1 year)



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