Modelling A.I. in Economics

Buy, sell or hold: LON:TIDE Stock Forecast

Abstract

We evaluate CRIMSON TIDE PLC prediction models with Reinforcement Machine Learning (ML) and Beta1,2,3,4 and conclude that the LON:TIDE stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+6 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold LON:TIDE stock.


Keywords: LON:TIDE, CRIMSON TIDE PLC, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.

Key Points

  1. Can machine learning predict?
  2. Game Theory
  3. Stock Forecast Based On a Predictive Algorithm

LON:TIDE Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider CRIMSON TIDE PLC Stock Decision Process with Beta where A is the set of discrete actions of LON:TIDE stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4


F(Beta)5,6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Reinforcement Machine Learning (ML)) X S(n):→ (n+6 month) i = 1 n r i

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of LON:TIDE stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

LON:TIDE Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+6 month)

Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: LON:TIDE CRIMSON TIDE PLC
Time series to forecast n: 05 Sep 2022 for (n+6 month)

According to price forecasts for (n+6 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold LON:TIDE stock.

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%


Conclusions

CRIMSON TIDE PLC assigned short-term Ba2 & long-term Baa2 forecasted stock rating. We evaluate the prediction models Reinforcement Machine Learning (ML) with Beta1,2,3,4 and conclude that the LON:TIDE stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+6 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold LON:TIDE stock.

Financial State Forecast for LON:TIDE Stock Options & Futures

Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*Ba2Baa2
Operational Risk 8773
Market Risk5587
Technical Analysis8372
Fundamental Analysis4469
Risk Unsystematic7078

Prediction Confidence Score

Trust metric by Neural Network: 83 out of 100 with 491 signals.

References

  1. uyer, S. Whiteson, B. Bakker, and N. A. Vlassis. Multiagent reinforcement learning for urban traffic control using coordination graphs. In Machine Learning and Knowledge Discovery in Databases, European Conference, ECML/PKDD 2008, Antwerp, Belgium, September 15-19, 2008, Proceedings, Part I, pages 656–671, 2008.
  2. C. Szepesvári. Algorithms for Reinforcement Learning. Synthesis Lectures on Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning. Morgan & Claypool Publishers, 2010
  3. P. Artzner, F. Delbaen, J. Eber, and D. Heath. Coherent measures of risk. Journal of Mathematical Finance, 9(3):203–228, 1999
  4. Mazumder R, Hastie T, Tibshirani R. 2010. Spectral regularization algorithms for learning large incomplete matrices. J. Mach. Learn. Res. 11:2287–322
  5. Candès EJ, Recht B. 2009. Exact matrix completion via convex optimization. Found. Comput. Math. 9:717
  6. Chernozhukov V, Chetverikov D, Demirer M, Duflo E, Hansen C, Newey W. 2017. Double/debiased/ Neyman machine learning of treatment effects. Am. Econ. Rev. 107:261–65
  7. Scholkopf B, Smola AJ. 2001. Learning with Kernels: Support Vector Machines, Regularization, Optimization, and Beyond. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press
Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: What is the prediction methodology for LON:TIDE stock?
A: LON:TIDE stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Reinforcement Machine Learning (ML) and Beta
Q: Is LON:TIDE stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold LON:TIDE Stock.
Q: Is CRIMSON TIDE PLC stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for CRIMSON TIDE PLC is Hold and assigned short-term Ba2 & long-term Baa2 forecasted stock rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of LON:TIDE stock?
A: The consensus rating for LON:TIDE is Hold.
Q: What is the prediction period for LON:TIDE stock?
A: The prediction period for LON:TIDE is (n+6 month)

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