Can neural networks predict stock market? (LON:ZCC Stock Forecast)

Stock market prediction is a major exertion in the field of finance and establishing businesses. Stock market is totally uncertain as the prices of stocks keep fluctuating on a daily basis because of numerous factors that influence it. One of the traditional ways of predicting stock prices was by using only historical data. But with time it was observed that other factors such as peoples' sentiments and other news events occurring in and around the country affect the stock market, for e.g. national elections, natural calamity etc. We evaluate ZCCM INVESTMENTS HOLDINGS PLC prediction models with Transfer Learning (ML) and Paired T-Test^1,2,3,4 and conclude that the LON:ZCC stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+3 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy LON:ZCC stock.

Keywords: LON:ZCC, ZCCM INVESTMENTS HOLDINGS PLC, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.

Key Points

1. Market Outlook
2. Can neural networks predict stock market?
3. What is a prediction confidence?

LON:ZCC Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

Stock market predictions are one of the challenging tasks for financial investors across the globe. This challenge is due to the uncertainty and volatility of the stock prices in the market. Due to technology and globalization of business and financial markets it is important to predict the stock prices more quickly and accurately. Last few years there has been much improvement in the field of Neural Network (NN) applications in business and financial markets. Artificial Neural Network (ANN) methods are mostly implemented and play a vital role in decision making for stock market predictions. We consider ZCCM INVESTMENTS HOLDINGS PLC Stock Decision Process with Paired T-Test where A is the set of discrete actions of LON:ZCC stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.^1,2,3,4

F(Paired T-Test)^5,6,7= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{\mathrm{a}1}& p_{\mathrm{a}2}& \dots & p_{1n}\\ & ⋮\\ p_{j1}& p_{j2}& \dots & p_{jn}\\ & ⋮\\ p_{k1}& p_{k2}& \dots & p_{kn}\\ & ⋮\\ p_{n1}& p_{n2}& \dots & p_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Transfer Learning (ML)) X S(n):→ (n+3 month) $\sum _{i=1}^n\left(s_i\right)$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of LON:ZCC stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

LON:ZCC Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+3 month)

Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: LON:ZCC ZCCM INVESTMENTS HOLDINGS PLC
Time series to forecast n: 19 Sep 2022 for (n+3 month)

According to price forecasts for (n+3 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy LON:ZCC stock.

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%

Conclusions

ZCCM INVESTMENTS HOLDINGS PLC assigned short-term Ba3 & long-term Ba3 forecasted stock rating. We evaluate the prediction models Transfer Learning (ML) with Paired T-Test^1,2,3,4 and conclude that the LON:ZCC stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+3 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy LON:ZCC stock.

Financial State Forecast for LON:ZCC Stock Options & Futures

Rating	Short-Term	Long-Term Senior
Outlook*	Ba3	Ba3
Operational Risk	69	71
Market Risk	55	70
Technical Analysis	69	79
Fundamental Analysis	43	57
Risk Unsystematic	84	42

Prediction Confidence Score

Trust metric by Neural Network: 77 out of 100 with 749 signals.

References

1. R. Sutton and A. Barto. Reinforcement Learning. The MIT Press, 1998
2. Athey S, Imbens G. 2016. Recursive partitioning for heterogeneous causal effects. PNAS 113:7353–60
3. J. Hu and M. P. Wellman. Nash q-learning for general-sum stochastic games. Journal of Machine Learning Research, 4:1039–1069, 2003.
4. Athey S, Imbens GW. 2017b. The state of applied econometrics: causality and policy evaluation. J. Econ. Perspect. 31:3–32
5. S. J. Russell and A. Zimdars. Q-decomposition for reinforcement learning agents. In Machine Learning, Proceedings of the Twentieth International Conference (ICML 2003), August 21-24, 2003, Washington, DC, USA, pages 656–663, 2003.
6. Dudik M, Langford J, Li L. 2011. Doubly robust policy evaluation and learning. In Proceedings of the 28th International Conference on Machine Learning, pp. 1097–104. La Jolla, CA: Int. Mach. Learn. Soc.
7. Chen X. 2007. Large sample sieve estimation of semi-nonparametric models. In Handbook of Econometrics, Vol. 6B, ed. JJ Heckman, EE Learner, pp. 5549–632. Amsterdam: Elsevier

Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is the prediction methodology for LON:ZCC stock?
A: LON:ZCC stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Transfer Learning (ML) and Paired T-Test
Q: Is LON:ZCC stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy LON:ZCC Stock.
Q: Is ZCCM INVESTMENTS HOLDINGS PLC stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for ZCCM INVESTMENTS HOLDINGS PLC is Buy and assigned short-term Ba3 & long-term Ba3 forecasted stock rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of LON:ZCC stock?
A: The consensus rating for LON:ZCC is Buy.
Q: What is the prediction period for LON:ZCC stock?
A: The prediction period for LON:ZCC is (n+3 month)

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