## Abstract

**We evaluate Activision Blizzard prediction models with Reinforcement Machine Learning (ML) and Statistical Hypothesis Testing ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the ATVI stock is predictable in the short/long term. **

**According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold ATVI stock.**

**ATVI, Activision Blizzard, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.**

*Keywords:*## Key Points

- Technical Analysis with Algorithmic Trading
- Stock Forecast Based On a Predictive Algorithm
- Operational Risk

## ATVI Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider Activision Blizzard Stock Decision Process with Statistical Hypothesis Testing where A is the set of discrete actions of ATVI stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.^{1,2,3,4}

F(Statistical Hypothesis Testing)

^{5,6,7}= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{\mathrm{a}1}& {p}_{\mathrm{a}2}& \dots & {p}_{1n}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{j1}& {p}_{j2}& \dots & {p}_{jn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{k1}& {p}_{k2}& \dots & {p}_{kn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{n1}& {p}_{n2}& \dots & {p}_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Reinforcement Machine Learning (ML)) X S(n):→ (n+1 year) $R=\left(\begin{array}{ccc}1& 0& 0\\ 0& 1& 0\\ 0& 0& 1\end{array}\right)$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of ATVI stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below:

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

## ATVI Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+1 year)

**Sample Set:**Neural Network

**Stock/Index:**ATVI Activision Blizzard

**Time series to forecast n: 03 Sep 2022**for (n+1 year)

**According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold ATVI stock.**

**X axis: *Likelihood%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

**Y axis: *Potential Impact%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

**Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%**

## Conclusions

Activision Blizzard assigned short-term B1 & long-term Ba2 forecasted stock rating.** We evaluate the prediction models Reinforcement Machine Learning (ML) with Statistical Hypothesis Testing ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the ATVI stock is predictable in the short/long term.**

**According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold ATVI stock.**

### Financial State Forecast for ATVI Stock Options & Futures

Rating | Short-Term | Long-Term Senior |
---|---|---|

Outlook* | B1 | Ba2 |

Operational Risk | 30 | 59 |

Market Risk | 69 | 78 |

Technical Analysis | 78 | 74 |

Fundamental Analysis | 76 | 37 |

Risk Unsystematic | 39 | 87 |

### Prediction Confidence Score

## References

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## Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is the prediction methodology for ATVI stock?A: ATVI stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Reinforcement Machine Learning (ML) and Statistical Hypothesis Testing

Q: Is ATVI stock a buy or sell?

A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold ATVI Stock.

Q: Is Activision Blizzard stock a good investment?

A: The consensus rating for Activision Blizzard is Hold and assigned short-term B1 & long-term Ba2 forecasted stock rating.

Q: What is the consensus rating of ATVI stock?

A: The consensus rating for ATVI is Hold.

Q: What is the prediction period for ATVI stock?

A: The prediction period for ATVI is (n+1 year)