## Abstract

We evaluate Prudential prediction models with Transfer Learning (ML) and Sign Test1,2,3,4 and conclude that the PRU stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+8 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold PRU stock.

Keywords: PRU, Prudential, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.

## Key Points

1. What is prediction in deep learning?
2. Buy, Sell and Hold Signals
3. Market Outlook ## PRU Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider Prudential Stock Decision Process with Sign Test where A is the set of discrete actions of PRU stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4

F(Sign Test)5,6,7= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{a1}& {p}_{a2}& \dots & {p}_{1n}\\ & ⋮\\ {p}_{j1}& {p}_{j2}& \dots & {p}_{jn}\\ & ⋮\\ {p}_{k1}& {p}_{k2}& \dots & {p}_{kn}\\ & ⋮\\ {p}_{n1}& {p}_{n2}& \dots & {p}_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Transfer Learning (ML)) X S(n):→ (n+8 weeks) $R=\left(\begin{array}{ccc}1& 0& 0\\ 0& 1& 0\\ 0& 0& 1\end{array}\right)$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of PRU stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below:

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

## PRU Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+8 weeks)

Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: PRU Prudential
Time series to forecast n: 05 Sep 2022 for (n+8 weeks)

According to price forecasts for (n+8 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold PRU stock.

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%

## Conclusions

Prudential assigned short-term B2 & long-term Ba1 forecasted stock rating. We evaluate the prediction models Transfer Learning (ML) with Sign Test1,2,3,4 and conclude that the PRU stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+8 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold PRU stock.

### Financial State Forecast for PRU Stock Options & Futures

Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*B2Ba1
Operational Risk 7558
Market Risk6575
Technical Analysis3783
Fundamental Analysis3047
Risk Unsystematic6084

### Prediction Confidence Score

Trust metric by Neural Network: 77 out of 100 with 652 signals.

## References

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2. D. Bertsekas. Dynamic programming and optimal control. Athena Scientific, 1995.
3. Mikolov T, Yih W, Zweig G. 2013c. Linguistic regularities in continuous space word representations. In Pro- ceedings of the 2013 Conference of the North American Chapter of the Association for Computational Linguistics: Human Language Technologies, pp. 746–51. New York: Assoc. Comput. Linguist.
4. Morris CN. 1983. Parametric empirical Bayes inference: theory and applications. J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 78:47–55
5. V. Konda and J. Tsitsiklis. Actor-Critic algorithms. In Proceedings of Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems 12, pages 1008–1014, 2000
6. S. Bhatnagar, R. Sutton, M. Ghavamzadeh, and M. Lee. Natural actor-critic algorithms. Automatica, 45(11): 2471–2482, 2009
7. J. N. Foerster, Y. M. Assael, N. de Freitas, and S. Whiteson. Learning to communicate with deep multi-agent reinforcement learning. In Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems 29: Annual Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems 2016, December 5-10, 2016, Barcelona, Spain, pages 2137–2145, 2016.
Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: What is the prediction methodology for PRU stock?
A: PRU stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Transfer Learning (ML) and Sign Test
Q: Is PRU stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold PRU Stock.
Q: Is Prudential stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for Prudential is Hold and assigned short-term B2 & long-term Ba1 forecasted stock rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of PRU stock?
A: The consensus rating for PRU is Hold.
Q: What is the prediction period for PRU stock?
A: The prediction period for PRU is (n+8 weeks)