## Abstract

**We evaluate Target Corporation prediction models with Transductive Learning (ML) and Ridge Regression ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the TGT stock is predictable in the short/long term. **

**According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell TGT stock.**

**TGT, Target Corporation, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.**

*Keywords:*## Key Points

- How do you know when a stock will go up or down?
- Operational Risk
- Why do we need predictive models?

## TGT Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider Target Corporation Stock Decision Process with Ridge Regression where A is the set of discrete actions of TGT stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.^{1,2,3,4}

F(Ridge Regression)

^{5,6,7}= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{\mathrm{a}1}& {p}_{\mathrm{a}2}& \dots & {p}_{1n}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{j1}& {p}_{j2}& \dots & {p}_{jn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{k1}& {p}_{k2}& \dots & {p}_{kn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{n1}& {p}_{n2}& \dots & {p}_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Transductive Learning (ML)) X S(n):→ (n+1 year) $\sum _{i=1}^{n}\left({a}_{i}\right)$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of TGT stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below:

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

## TGT Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+1 year)

**Sample Set:**Neural Network

**Stock/Index:**TGT Target Corporation

**Time series to forecast n: 01 Sep 2022**for (n+1 year)

**According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell TGT stock.**

**X axis: *Likelihood%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

**Y axis: *Potential Impact%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

**Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%**

## Conclusions

Target Corporation assigned short-term Baa2 & long-term Ba1 forecasted stock rating.** We evaluate the prediction models Transductive Learning (ML) with Ridge Regression ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the TGT stock is predictable in the short/long term.**

**According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell TGT stock.**

### Financial State Forecast for TGT Stock Options & Futures

Rating | Short-Term | Long-Term Senior |
---|---|---|

Outlook* | Baa2 | Ba1 |

Operational Risk | 80 | 53 |

Market Risk | 84 | 84 |

Technical Analysis | 63 | 77 |

Fundamental Analysis | 81 | 75 |

Risk Unsystematic | 83 | 66 |

### Prediction Confidence Score

## References

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- F. A. Oliehoek and C. Amato. A Concise Introduction to Decentralized POMDPs. SpringerBriefs in Intelligent Systems. Springer, 2016
- S. Bhatnagar, R. Sutton, M. Ghavamzadeh, and M. Lee. Natural actor-critic algorithms. Automatica, 45(11): 2471–2482, 2009
- Abadie A, Diamond A, Hainmueller J. 2015. Comparative politics and the synthetic control method. Am. J. Political Sci. 59:495–510
- Sutton RS, Barto AG. 1998. Reinforcement Learning: An Introduction. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press
- Z. Wang, T. Schaul, M. Hessel, H. van Hasselt, M. Lanctot, and N. de Freitas. Dueling network architectures for deep reinforcement learning. In Proceedings of the International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML), pages 1995–2003, 2016.
- Artis, M. J. W. Zhang (1990), "BVAR forecasts for the G-7," International Journal of Forecasting, 6, 349–362.

## Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is the prediction methodology for TGT stock?A: TGT stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Transductive Learning (ML) and Ridge Regression

Q: Is TGT stock a buy or sell?

A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell TGT Stock.

Q: Is Target Corporation stock a good investment?

A: The consensus rating for Target Corporation is Sell and assigned short-term Baa2 & long-term Ba1 forecasted stock rating.

Q: What is the consensus rating of TGT stock?

A: The consensus rating for TGT is Sell.

Q: What is the prediction period for TGT stock?

A: The prediction period for TGT is (n+1 year)

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