Modelling A.I. in Economics

Can we predict stock market using machine learning? (LON:LND Stock Forecast) (Forecast)

Abstract

We evaluate LANDORE RESOURCES LIMITED prediction models with Deductive Inference (ML) and Factor1,2,3,4 and conclude that the LON:LND stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+8 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold LON:LND stock.


Keywords: LON:LND, LANDORE RESOURCES LIMITED, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.

Key Points

  1. What are buy sell or hold recommendations?
  2. What is a prediction confidence?
  3. Is now good time to invest?

LON:LND Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider LANDORE RESOURCES LIMITED Stock Decision Process with Factor where A is the set of discrete actions of LON:LND stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4


F(Factor)5,6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Deductive Inference (ML)) X S(n):→ (n+8 weeks) e x rx

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of LON:LND stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

LON:LND Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+8 weeks)

Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: LON:LND LANDORE RESOURCES LIMITED
Time series to forecast n: 05 Sep 2022 for (n+8 weeks)

According to price forecasts for (n+8 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold LON:LND stock.

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%


Conclusions

LANDORE RESOURCES LIMITED assigned short-term B1 & long-term Ba2 forecasted stock rating. We evaluate the prediction models Deductive Inference (ML) with Factor1,2,3,4 and conclude that the LON:LND stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+8 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold LON:LND stock.

Financial State Forecast for LON:LND Stock Options & Futures

Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*B1Ba2
Operational Risk 5752
Market Risk3689
Technical Analysis5858
Fundamental Analysis8873
Risk Unsystematic7168

Prediction Confidence Score

Trust metric by Neural Network: 72 out of 100 with 583 signals.

References

  1. Hornik K, Stinchcombe M, White H. 1989. Multilayer feedforward networks are universal approximators. Neural Netw. 2:359–66
  2. J. Hu and M. P. Wellman. Nash q-learning for general-sum stochastic games. Journal of Machine Learning Research, 4:1039–1069, 2003.
  3. Dimakopoulou M, Zhou Z, Athey S, Imbens G. 2018. Balanced linear contextual bandits. arXiv:1812.06227 [cs.LG]
  4. Tibshirani R. 1996. Regression shrinkage and selection via the lasso. J. R. Stat. Soc. B 58:267–88
  5. M. Babes, E. M. de Cote, and M. L. Littman. Social reward shaping in the prisoner's dilemma. In 7th International Joint Conference on Autonomous Agents and Multiagent Systems (AAMAS 2008), Estoril, Portugal, May 12-16, 2008, Volume 3, pages 1389–1392, 2008.
  6. Bottomley, P. R. Fildes (1998), "The role of prices in models of innovation diffusion," Journal of Forecasting, 17, 539–555.
  7. Blei DM, Lafferty JD. 2009. Topic models. In Text Mining: Classification, Clustering, and Applications, ed. A Srivastava, M Sahami, pp. 101–24. Boca Raton, FL: CRC Press
Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: What is the prediction methodology for LON:LND stock?
A: LON:LND stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Deductive Inference (ML) and Factor
Q: Is LON:LND stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold LON:LND Stock.
Q: Is LANDORE RESOURCES LIMITED stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for LANDORE RESOURCES LIMITED is Hold and assigned short-term B1 & long-term Ba2 forecasted stock rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of LON:LND stock?
A: The consensus rating for LON:LND is Hold.
Q: What is the prediction period for LON:LND stock?
A: The prediction period for LON:LND is (n+8 weeks)

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