## Abstract

We evaluate Crane prediction models with Modular Neural Network (Financial Sentiment Analysis) and Pearson Correlation1,2,3,4 and conclude that the CR stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+16 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold CR stock.

Keywords: CR, Crane, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.

## Key Points

1. Game Theory
2. How do you know when a stock will go up or down?
3. How useful are statistical predictions?

## CR Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider Crane Stock Decision Process with Pearson Correlation where A is the set of discrete actions of CR stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4

F(Pearson Correlation)5,6,7= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{a1}& {p}_{a2}& \dots & {p}_{1n}\\ & ⋮\\ {p}_{j1}& {p}_{j2}& \dots & {p}_{jn}\\ & ⋮\\ {p}_{k1}& {p}_{k2}& \dots & {p}_{kn}\\ & ⋮\\ {p}_{n1}& {p}_{n2}& \dots & {p}_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Modular Neural Network (Financial Sentiment Analysis)) X S(n):→ (n+16 weeks) $\stackrel{\to }{S}=\left({s}_{1},{s}_{2},{s}_{3}\right)$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of CR stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below:

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

## CR Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+16 weeks)

Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: CR Crane
Time series to forecast n: 08 Sep 2022 for (n+16 weeks)

According to price forecasts for (n+16 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold CR stock.

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%

## Conclusions

Crane assigned short-term B2 & long-term B2 forecasted stock rating. We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (Financial Sentiment Analysis) with Pearson Correlation1,2,3,4 and conclude that the CR stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+16 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold CR stock.

### Financial State Forecast for CR Stock Options & Futures

Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*B2B2
Operational Risk 3567
Market Risk8931
Technical Analysis5659
Fundamental Analysis3361
Risk Unsystematic5737

### Prediction Confidence Score

Trust metric by Neural Network: 72 out of 100 with 524 signals.

## References

1. S. Bhatnagar, H. Prasad, and L. Prashanth. Stochastic recursive algorithms for optimization, volume 434. Springer, 2013
2. Athey S. 2017. Beyond prediction: using big data for policy problems. Science 355:483–85
3. J. Hu and M. P. Wellman. Nash q-learning for general-sum stochastic games. Journal of Machine Learning Research, 4:1039–1069, 2003.
4. S. Proper and K. Tumer. Modeling difference rewards for multiagent learning (extended abstract). In Proceedings of the Eleventh International Joint Conference on Autonomous Agents and Multiagent Systems, Valencia, Spain, June 2012
5. V. Borkar. A sensitivity formula for the risk-sensitive cost and the actor-critic algorithm. Systems & Control Letters, 44:339–346, 2001
6. V. Borkar. Stochastic approximation: a dynamical systems viewpoint. Cambridge University Press, 2008
7. Athey S, Wager S. 2017. Efficient policy learning. arXiv:1702.02896 [math.ST]
Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: What is the prediction methodology for CR stock?
A: CR stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (Financial Sentiment Analysis) and Pearson Correlation
Q: Is CR stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold CR Stock.
Q: Is Crane stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for Crane is Hold and assigned short-term B2 & long-term B2 forecasted stock rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of CR stock?
A: The consensus rating for CR is Hold.
Q: What is the prediction period for CR stock?
A: The prediction period for CR is (n+16 weeks)