## Abstract

**We evaluate Equity Residential prediction models with Active Learning (ML) and Logistic Regression ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the EQR stock is predictable in the short/long term. **

**According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold EQR stock.**

**EQR, Equity Residential, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.**

*Keywords:*## Key Points

- Trust metric by Neural Network
- What is a prediction confidence?
- Can statistics predict the future?

## EQR Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider Equity Residential Stock Decision Process with Logistic Regression where A is the set of discrete actions of EQR stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.^{1,2,3,4}

F(Logistic Regression)

^{5,6,7}= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{\mathrm{a}1}& {p}_{\mathrm{a}2}& \dots & {p}_{1n}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{j1}& {p}_{j2}& \dots & {p}_{jn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{k1}& {p}_{k2}& \dots & {p}_{kn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{n1}& {p}_{n2}& \dots & {p}_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Active Learning (ML)) X S(n):→ (n+1 year) $\sum _{i=1}^{n}\left({s}_{i}\right)$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of EQR stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below:

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

## EQR Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+1 year)

**Sample Set:**Neural Network

**Stock/Index:**EQR Equity Residential

**Time series to forecast n: 06 Sep 2022**for (n+1 year)

**According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold EQR stock.**

**X axis: *Likelihood%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

**Y axis: *Potential Impact%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

**Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%**

## Conclusions

Equity Residential assigned short-term B2 & long-term Ba2 forecasted stock rating.** We evaluate the prediction models Active Learning (ML) with Logistic Regression ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the EQR stock is predictable in the short/long term.**

**According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold EQR stock.**

### Financial State Forecast for EQR Stock Options & Futures

Rating | Short-Term | Long-Term Senior |
---|---|---|

Outlook* | B2 | Ba2 |

Operational Risk | 58 | 48 |

Market Risk | 80 | 60 |

Technical Analysis | 51 | 66 |

Fundamental Analysis | 41 | 88 |

Risk Unsystematic | 37 | 81 |

### Prediction Confidence Score

## References

- P. Artzner, F. Delbaen, J. Eber, and D. Heath. Coherent measures of risk. Journal of Mathematical Finance, 9(3):203–228, 1999
- Bai J, Ng S. 2002. Determining the number of factors in approximate factor models. Econometrica 70:191–221
- L. Busoniu, R. Babuska, and B. D. Schutter. A comprehensive survey of multiagent reinforcement learning. IEEE Transactions of Systems, Man, and Cybernetics Part C: Applications and Reviews, 38(2), 2008.
- Hirano K, Porter JR. 2009. Asymptotics for statistical treatment rules. Econometrica 77:1683–701
- M. Puterman. Markov Decision Processes: Discrete Stochastic Dynamic Programming. Wiley, New York, 1994.
- Canova, F. B. E. Hansen (1995), "Are seasonal patterns constant over time? A test for seasonal stability," Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 13, 237–252.
- H. Khalil and J. Grizzle. Nonlinear systems, volume 3. Prentice hall Upper Saddle River, 2002.

## Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is the prediction methodology for EQR stock?A: EQR stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Active Learning (ML) and Logistic Regression

Q: Is EQR stock a buy or sell?

A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold EQR Stock.

Q: Is Equity Residential stock a good investment?

A: The consensus rating for Equity Residential is Hold and assigned short-term B2 & long-term Ba2 forecasted stock rating.

Q: What is the consensus rating of EQR stock?

A: The consensus rating for EQR is Hold.

Q: What is the prediction period for EQR stock?

A: The prediction period for EQR is (n+1 year)