Modelling A.I. in Economics

Does algo trading work? (LON:AIQ Stock Forecast) (Forecast)

The nature of stock market movement has always been ambiguous for investors because of various influential factors. This study aims to significantly reduce the risk of trend prediction with machine learning and deep learning algorithms. We evaluate AIQ LIMITED prediction models with Statistical Inference (ML) and Paired T-Test1,2,3,4 and conclude that the LON:AIQ stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold LON:AIQ stock.


Keywords: LON:AIQ, AIQ LIMITED, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.

Key Points

  1. Market Signals
  2. Fundemental Analysis with Algorithmic Trading
  3. How do predictive algorithms actually work?

LON:AIQ Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

Stock market forecasting is considered to be a challenging topic among time series forecasting. This study proposes a novel two-stage ensemble machine learning model named SVR-ENANFIS for stock price prediction by combining features of support vector regression (SVR) and ensemble adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system (ENANFIS). We consider AIQ LIMITED Stock Decision Process with Paired T-Test where A is the set of discrete actions of LON:AIQ stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4


F(Paired T-Test)5,6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Statistical Inference (ML)) X S(n):→ (n+1 year) i = 1 n r i

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of LON:AIQ stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

LON:AIQ Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+1 year)

Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: LON:AIQ AIQ LIMITED
Time series to forecast n: 25 Sep 2022 for (n+1 year)

According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold LON:AIQ stock.

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%


Conclusions

AIQ LIMITED assigned short-term B1 & long-term Ba3 forecasted stock rating. We evaluate the prediction models Statistical Inference (ML) with Paired T-Test1,2,3,4 and conclude that the LON:AIQ stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold LON:AIQ stock.

Financial State Forecast for LON:AIQ Stock Options & Futures

Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*B1Ba3
Operational Risk 6860
Market Risk8564
Technical Analysis5457
Fundamental Analysis4467
Risk Unsystematic4468

Prediction Confidence Score

Trust metric by Neural Network: 91 out of 100 with 781 signals.

References

  1. J. Spall. Multivariate stochastic approximation using a simultaneous perturbation gradient approximation. IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control, 37(3):332–341, 1992.
  2. H. Kushner and G. Yin. Stochastic approximation algorithms and applications. Springer, 1997.
  3. S. J. Russell and A. Zimdars. Q-decomposition for reinforcement learning agents. In Machine Learning, Proceedings of the Twentieth International Conference (ICML 2003), August 21-24, 2003, Washington, DC, USA, pages 656–663, 2003.
  4. Vapnik V. 2013. The Nature of Statistical Learning Theory. Berlin: Springer
  5. Dimakopoulou M, Zhou Z, Athey S, Imbens G. 2018. Balanced linear contextual bandits. arXiv:1812.06227 [cs.LG]
  6. Athey S, Tibshirani J, Wager S. 2016b. Generalized random forests. arXiv:1610.01271 [stat.ME]
  7. Bengio Y, Ducharme R, Vincent P, Janvin C. 2003. A neural probabilistic language model. J. Mach. Learn. Res. 3:1137–55
Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: What is the prediction methodology for LON:AIQ stock?
A: LON:AIQ stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Statistical Inference (ML) and Paired T-Test
Q: Is LON:AIQ stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold LON:AIQ Stock.
Q: Is AIQ LIMITED stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for AIQ LIMITED is Hold and assigned short-term B1 & long-term Ba3 forecasted stock rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of LON:AIQ stock?
A: The consensus rating for LON:AIQ is Hold.
Q: What is the prediction period for LON:AIQ stock?
A: The prediction period for LON:AIQ is (n+1 year)

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