## Abstract

**We evaluate Dominion Energy prediction models with Modular Neural Network (Market Direction Analysis) and Independent T-Test ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the D stock is predictable in the short/long term. **

**According to price forecasts for (n+3 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold D stock.**

**D, Dominion Energy, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.**

*Keywords:*## Key Points

- Should I buy stocks now or wait amid such uncertainty?
- Is Target price a good indicator?
- Buy, Sell and Hold Signals

## D Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider Dominion Energy Stock Decision Process with Independent T-Test where A is the set of discrete actions of D stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and Î³ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.^{1,2,3,4}

F(Independent T-Test)

^{5,6,7}= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{\mathrm{a}1}& {p}_{\mathrm{a}2}& \dots & {p}_{1n}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{j1}& {p}_{j2}& \dots & {p}_{jn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{k1}& {p}_{k2}& \dots & {p}_{kn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{n1}& {p}_{n2}& \dots & {p}_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Modular Neural Network (Market Direction Analysis)) X S(n):→ (n+3 month) $\begin{array}{l}\int {e}^{x}\mathrm{rx}\end{array}$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of D stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below:

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

## D Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+3 month)

**Sample Set:**Neural Network

**Stock/Index:**D Dominion Energy

**Time series to forecast n: 03 Sep 2022**for (n+3 month)

**According to price forecasts for (n+3 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold D stock.**

**X axis: *Likelihood%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

**Y axis: *Potential Impact%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

**Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%**

## Conclusions

Dominion Energy assigned short-term B3 & long-term Ba3 forecasted stock rating.** We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (Market Direction Analysis) with Independent T-Test ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the D stock is predictable in the short/long term.**

**According to price forecasts for (n+3 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold D stock.**

### Financial State Forecast for D Stock Options & Futures

Rating | Short-Term | Long-Term Senior |
---|---|---|

Outlook* | B3 | Ba3 |

Operational Risk | 45 | 33 |

Market Risk | 39 | 86 |

Technical Analysis | 75 | 81 |

Fundamental Analysis | 48 | 59 |

Risk Unsystematic | 30 | 51 |

### Prediction Confidence Score

## References

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- A. Eck, L. Soh, S. Devlin, and D. Kudenko. Potential-based reward shaping for finite horizon online POMDP planning. Autonomous Agents and Multi-Agent Systems, 30(3):403–445, 2016
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- Breiman L. 1996. Bagging predictors. Mach. Learn. 24:123–40
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- Ashley, R. (1983), "On the usefulness of macroeconomic forecasts as inputs to forecasting models," Journal of Forecasting, 2, 211–223.
- Ashley, R. (1983), "On the usefulness of macroeconomic forecasts as inputs to forecasting models," Journal of Forecasting, 2, 211–223.

## Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is the prediction methodology for D stock?A: D stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (Market Direction Analysis) and Independent T-Test

Q: Is D stock a buy or sell?

A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold D Stock.

Q: Is Dominion Energy stock a good investment?

A: The consensus rating for Dominion Energy is Hold and assigned short-term B3 & long-term Ba3 forecasted stock rating.

Q: What is the consensus rating of D stock?

A: The consensus rating for D is Hold.

Q: What is the prediction period for D stock?

A: The prediction period for D is (n+3 month)