How do you decide buy or sell a stock? (SAIC Stock Forecast)


Abstract

We evaluate SAIC prediction models with Transductive Learning (ML) and Linear Regression1,2,3,4 and conclude that the SAIC stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+16 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold SAIC stock.


Keywords: SAIC, SAIC, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.

Key Points

  1. Game Theory
  2. Should I buy stocks now or wait amid such uncertainty?
  3. Trading Signals

SAIC Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider SAIC Stock Decision Process with Linear Regression where A is the set of discrete actions of SAIC stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4


F(Linear Regression)5,6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Transductive Learning (ML)) X S(n):→ (n+16 weeks) i = 1 n a i

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of SAIC stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

SAIC Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+16 weeks)

Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: SAIC SAIC
Time series to forecast n: 02 Sep 2022 for (n+16 weeks)

According to price forecasts for (n+16 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold SAIC stock.

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%


Conclusions

SAIC assigned short-term B3 & long-term Caa1 forecasted stock rating. We evaluate the prediction models Transductive Learning (ML) with Linear Regression1,2,3,4 and conclude that the SAIC stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+16 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold SAIC stock.

Financial State Forecast for SAIC Stock Options & Futures

Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*B3Caa1
Operational Risk 4250
Market Risk3935
Technical Analysis5049
Fundamental Analysis6834
Risk Unsystematic4334

Prediction Confidence Score

Trust metric by Neural Network: 77 out of 100 with 726 signals.

References

  1. J. Filar, D. Krass, and K. Ross. Percentile performance criteria for limiting average Markov decision pro- cesses. IEEE Transaction of Automatic Control, 40(1):2–10, 1995.
  2. Abadie A, Diamond A, Hainmueller J. 2010. Synthetic control methods for comparative case studies: estimat- ing the effect of California's tobacco control program. J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 105:493–505
  3. J. Ott. A Markov decision model for a surveillance application and risk-sensitive Markov decision processes. PhD thesis, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, 2010.
  4. Abadir, K. M., K. Hadri E. Tzavalis (1999), "The influence of VAR dimensions on estimator biases," Econometrica, 67, 163–181.
  5. R. Sutton and A. Barto. Reinforcement Learning. The MIT Press, 1998
  6. J. Filar, L. Kallenberg, and H. Lee. Variance-penalized Markov decision processes. Mathematics of Opera- tions Research, 14(1):147–161, 1989
  7. Challen, D. W. A. J. Hagger (1983), Macroeconomic Systems: Construction, Validation and Applications. New York: St. Martin's Press.
Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: What is the prediction methodology for SAIC stock?
A: SAIC stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Transductive Learning (ML) and Linear Regression
Q: Is SAIC stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold SAIC Stock.
Q: Is SAIC stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for SAIC is Hold and assigned short-term B3 & long-term Caa1 forecasted stock rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of SAIC stock?
A: The consensus rating for SAIC is Hold.
Q: What is the prediction period for SAIC stock?
A: The prediction period for SAIC is (n+16 weeks)

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As AC Investment Research, our goal is to do fundamental research, bring forward a totally new, scientific technology and create frameworks for objective forecasting using machine learning and fundamentals of Game Theory.

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