## Abstract

**We evaluate SAIC prediction models with Transductive Learning (ML) and Linear Regression ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the SAIC stock is predictable in the short/long term. **

**According to price forecasts for (n+16 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold SAIC stock.**

**SAIC, SAIC, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.**

*Keywords:*## Key Points

- Game Theory
- Should I buy stocks now or wait amid such uncertainty?
- Trading Signals

## SAIC Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider SAIC Stock Decision Process with Linear Regression where A is the set of discrete actions of SAIC stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.^{1,2,3,4}

F(Linear Regression)

^{5,6,7}= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{\mathrm{a}1}& {p}_{\mathrm{a}2}& \dots & {p}_{1n}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{j1}& {p}_{j2}& \dots & {p}_{jn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{k1}& {p}_{k2}& \dots & {p}_{kn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{n1}& {p}_{n2}& \dots & {p}_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Transductive Learning (ML)) X S(n):→ (n+16 weeks) $\sum _{i=1}^{n}\left({a}_{i}\right)$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of SAIC stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below:

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

## SAIC Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+16 weeks)

**Sample Set:**Neural Network

**Stock/Index:**SAIC SAIC

**Time series to forecast n: 02 Sep 2022**for (n+16 weeks)

**According to price forecasts for (n+16 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold SAIC stock.**

**X axis: *Likelihood%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

**Y axis: *Potential Impact%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

**Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%**

## Conclusions

SAIC assigned short-term B3 & long-term Caa1 forecasted stock rating.** We evaluate the prediction models Transductive Learning (ML) with Linear Regression ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the SAIC stock is predictable in the short/long term.**

**According to price forecasts for (n+16 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold SAIC stock.**

### Financial State Forecast for SAIC Stock Options & Futures

Rating | Short-Term | Long-Term Senior |
---|---|---|

Outlook* | B3 | Caa1 |

Operational Risk | 42 | 50 |

Market Risk | 39 | 35 |

Technical Analysis | 50 | 49 |

Fundamental Analysis | 68 | 34 |

Risk Unsystematic | 43 | 34 |

### Prediction Confidence Score

## References

- J. Filar, D. Krass, and K. Ross. Percentile performance criteria for limiting average Markov decision pro- cesses. IEEE Transaction of Automatic Control, 40(1):2–10, 1995.
- Abadie A, Diamond A, Hainmueller J. 2010. Synthetic control methods for comparative case studies: estimat- ing the effect of California's tobacco control program. J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 105:493–505
- J. Ott. A Markov decision model for a surveillance application and risk-sensitive Markov decision processes. PhD thesis, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, 2010.
- Abadir, K. M., K. Hadri E. Tzavalis (1999), "The influence of VAR dimensions on estimator biases," Econometrica, 67, 163–181.
- R. Sutton and A. Barto. Reinforcement Learning. The MIT Press, 1998
- J. Filar, L. Kallenberg, and H. Lee. Variance-penalized Markov decision processes. Mathematics of Opera- tions Research, 14(1):147–161, 1989
- Challen, D. W. A. J. Hagger (1983), Macroeconomic Systems: Construction, Validation and Applications. New York: St. Martin's Press.

## Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is the prediction methodology for SAIC stock?A: SAIC stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Transductive Learning (ML) and Linear Regression

Q: Is SAIC stock a buy or sell?

A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold SAIC Stock.

Q: Is SAIC stock a good investment?

A: The consensus rating for SAIC is Hold and assigned short-term B3 & long-term Caa1 forecasted stock rating.

Q: What is the consensus rating of SAIC stock?

A: The consensus rating for SAIC is Hold.

Q: What is the prediction period for SAIC stock?

A: The prediction period for SAIC is (n+16 weeks)