Modelling A.I. in Economics

How do you determine buy or sell? (NSE FINCABLES Stock Forecast) (Forecast)

Stock price prediction has always been a challenging task for the researchers in financial domain. While the Efficient Market Hypothesis claims that it is impossible to predict stock prices accurately, there are work in the literature that have demonstrated that stock price movements can be forecasted with a reasonable degree of accuracy, if appropriate variables are chosen and suitable predictive models are built using those variables. In this work, we present a robust and accurate framework of stock price prediction using statistical, machine learning and deep learning methods We evaluate Finolex Cables Limited prediction models with Modular Neural Network (Emotional Trigger/Responses Analysis) and Wilcoxon Rank-Sum Test1,2,3,4 and conclude that the NSE FINCABLES stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell NSE FINCABLES stock.


Keywords: NSE FINCABLES, Finolex Cables Limited, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.

Key Points

  1. Stock Rating
  2. What are the most successful trading algorithms?
  3. Can machine learning predict?

NSE FINCABLES Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

This paper proposes genetic algorithms (GAs) approach to feature discretization and the determination of connection weights for artificial neural networks (ANNs) to predict the stock price index. Previous research proposed many hybrid models of ANN and GA for the method of training the network, feature subset selection, and topology optimization. We consider Finolex Cables Limited Stock Decision Process with Wilcoxon Rank-Sum Test where A is the set of discrete actions of NSE FINCABLES stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4


F(Wilcoxon Rank-Sum Test)5,6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Modular Neural Network (Emotional Trigger/Responses Analysis)) X S(n):→ (n+1 year) e x rx

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of NSE FINCABLES stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

NSE FINCABLES Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+1 year)

Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: NSE FINCABLES Finolex Cables Limited
Time series to forecast n: 26 Sep 2022 for (n+1 year)

According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell NSE FINCABLES stock.

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%


Conclusions

Finolex Cables Limited assigned short-term Ba3 & long-term Ba3 forecasted stock rating. We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (Emotional Trigger/Responses Analysis) with Wilcoxon Rank-Sum Test1,2,3,4 and conclude that the NSE FINCABLES stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell NSE FINCABLES stock.

Financial State Forecast for NSE FINCABLES Stock Options & Futures

Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*Ba3Ba3
Operational Risk 8572
Market Risk4980
Technical Analysis7453
Fundamental Analysis7159
Risk Unsystematic5241

Prediction Confidence Score

Trust metric by Neural Network: 77 out of 100 with 706 signals.

References

  1. Miller A. 2002. Subset Selection in Regression. New York: CRC Press
  2. Batchelor, R. P. Dua (1993), "Survey vs ARCH measures of inflation uncertainty," Oxford Bulletin of Economics Statistics, 55, 341–353.
  3. C. Szepesvári. Algorithms for Reinforcement Learning. Synthesis Lectures on Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning. Morgan & Claypool Publishers, 2010
  4. Bennett J, Lanning S. 2007. The Netflix prize. In Proceedings of KDD Cup and Workshop 2007, p. 35. New York: ACM
  5. Breusch, T. S. A. R. Pagan (1979), "A simple test for heteroskedasticity and random coefficient variation," Econometrica, 47, 1287–1294.
  6. Schapire RE, Freund Y. 2012. Boosting: Foundations and Algorithms. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press
  7. Miller A. 2002. Subset Selection in Regression. New York: CRC Press
Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: What is the prediction methodology for NSE FINCABLES stock?
A: NSE FINCABLES stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (Emotional Trigger/Responses Analysis) and Wilcoxon Rank-Sum Test
Q: Is NSE FINCABLES stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell NSE FINCABLES Stock.
Q: Is Finolex Cables Limited stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for Finolex Cables Limited is Sell and assigned short-term Ba3 & long-term Ba3 forecasted stock rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of NSE FINCABLES stock?
A: The consensus rating for NSE FINCABLES is Sell.
Q: What is the prediction period for NSE FINCABLES stock?
A: The prediction period for NSE FINCABLES is (n+1 year)

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