How do you know when a stock will go up or down? (SYF Stock Forecast)


Abstract

We evaluate Synchrony Financial prediction models with Transductive Learning (ML) and Multiple Regression1,2,3,4 and conclude that the SYF stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+4 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold SYF stock.


Keywords: SYF, Synchrony Financial, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.

Key Points

  1. Market Outlook
  2. Prediction Modeling
  3. Market Signals

SYF Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider Synchrony Financial Stock Decision Process with Multiple Regression where A is the set of discrete actions of SYF stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4


F(Multiple Regression)5,6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Transductive Learning (ML)) X S(n):→ (n+4 weeks) i = 1 n a i

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of SYF stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

SYF Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+4 weeks)

Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: SYF Synchrony Financial
Time series to forecast n: 04 Sep 2022 for (n+4 weeks)

According to price forecasts for (n+4 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold SYF stock.

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%


Conclusions

Synchrony Financial assigned short-term B3 & long-term Baa2 forecasted stock rating. We evaluate the prediction models Transductive Learning (ML) with Multiple Regression1,2,3,4 and conclude that the SYF stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+4 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold SYF stock.

Financial State Forecast for SYF Stock Options & Futures

Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*B3Baa2
Operational Risk 3689
Market Risk4576
Technical Analysis5565
Fundamental Analysis8084
Risk Unsystematic3764

Prediction Confidence Score

Trust metric by Neural Network: 87 out of 100 with 559 signals.

References

  1. White H. 1992. Artificial Neural Networks: Approximation and Learning Theory. Oxford, UK: Blackwell
  2. V. Borkar. Stochastic approximation: a dynamical systems viewpoint. Cambridge University Press, 2008
  3. J. Spall. Multivariate stochastic approximation using a simultaneous perturbation gradient approximation. IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control, 37(3):332–341, 1992.
  4. Allen, P. G. (1994), "Economic forecasting in agriculture," International Journal of Forecasting, 10, 81–135.
  5. S. Bhatnagar, H. Prasad, and L. Prashanth. Stochastic recursive algorithms for optimization, volume 434. Springer, 2013
  6. Holland PW. 1986. Statistics and causal inference. J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 81:945–60
  7. Z. Wang, T. Schaul, M. Hessel, H. van Hasselt, M. Lanctot, and N. de Freitas. Dueling network architectures for deep reinforcement learning. In Proceedings of the International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML), pages 1995–2003, 2016.
Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: What is the prediction methodology for SYF stock?
A: SYF stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Transductive Learning (ML) and Multiple Regression
Q: Is SYF stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold SYF Stock.
Q: Is Synchrony Financial stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for Synchrony Financial is Hold and assigned short-term B3 & long-term Baa2 forecasted stock rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of SYF stock?
A: The consensus rating for SYF is Hold.
Q: What is the prediction period for SYF stock?
A: The prediction period for SYF is (n+4 weeks)

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