## Abstract

**We evaluate First Industrial Realty Trust prediction models with Modular Neural Network (Market Volatility Analysis) and Stepwise Regression ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the FR stock is predictable in the short/long term. **

**According to price forecasts for (n+8 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold FR stock.**

**FR, First Industrial Realty Trust, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.**

*Keywords:*## Key Points

- Why do we need predictive models?
- Probability Distribution
- Should I buy stocks now or wait amid such uncertainty?

## FR Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider First Industrial Realty Trust Stock Decision Process with Stepwise Regression where A is the set of discrete actions of FR stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.^{1,2,3,4}

F(Stepwise Regression)

^{5,6,7}= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{\mathrm{a}1}& {p}_{\mathrm{a}2}& \dots & {p}_{1n}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{j1}& {p}_{j2}& \dots & {p}_{jn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{k1}& {p}_{k2}& \dots & {p}_{kn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{n1}& {p}_{n2}& \dots & {p}_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Modular Neural Network (Market Volatility Analysis)) X S(n):→ (n+8 weeks) $\sum _{i=1}^{n}\left({s}_{i}\right)$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of FR stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below:

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

## FR Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+8 weeks)

**Sample Set:**Neural Network

**Stock/Index:**FR First Industrial Realty Trust

**Time series to forecast n: 08 Sep 2022**for (n+8 weeks)

**According to price forecasts for (n+8 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold FR stock.**

**X axis: *Likelihood%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

**Y axis: *Potential Impact%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

**Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%**

## Conclusions

First Industrial Realty Trust assigned short-term B2 & long-term Baa2 forecasted stock rating.** We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (Market Volatility Analysis) with Stepwise Regression ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the FR stock is predictable in the short/long term.**

**According to price forecasts for (n+8 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold FR stock.**

### Financial State Forecast for FR Stock Options & Futures

Rating | Short-Term | Long-Term Senior |
---|---|---|

Outlook* | B2 | Baa2 |

Operational Risk | 43 | 89 |

Market Risk | 54 | 76 |

Technical Analysis | 67 | 79 |

Fundamental Analysis | 54 | 80 |

Risk Unsystematic | 44 | 88 |

### Prediction Confidence Score

## References

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- uyer, S. Whiteson, B. Bakker, and N. A. Vlassis. Multiagent reinforcement learning for urban traffic control using coordination graphs. In Machine Learning and Knowledge Discovery in Databases, European Conference, ECML/PKDD 2008, Antwerp, Belgium, September 15-19, 2008, Proceedings, Part I, pages 656–671, 2008.
- Vilnis L, McCallum A. 2015. Word representations via Gaussian embedding. arXiv:1412.6623 [cs.CL]

## Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is the prediction methodology for FR stock?A: FR stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (Market Volatility Analysis) and Stepwise Regression

Q: Is FR stock a buy or sell?

A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold FR Stock.

Q: Is First Industrial Realty Trust stock a good investment?

A: The consensus rating for First Industrial Realty Trust is Hold and assigned short-term B2 & long-term Baa2 forecasted stock rating.

Q: What is the consensus rating of FR stock?

A: The consensus rating for FR is Hold.

Q: What is the prediction period for FR stock?

A: The prediction period for FR is (n+8 weeks)

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