## Abstract

We evaluate First Industrial Realty Trust prediction models with Modular Neural Network (Market Volatility Analysis) and Stepwise Regression1,2,3,4 and conclude that the FR stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+8 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold FR stock.

Keywords: FR, First Industrial Realty Trust, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.

## Key Points

1. Why do we need predictive models?
2. Probability Distribution
3. Should I buy stocks now or wait amid such uncertainty? ## FR Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider First Industrial Realty Trust Stock Decision Process with Stepwise Regression where A is the set of discrete actions of FR stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4

F(Stepwise Regression)5,6,7= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{a1}& {p}_{a2}& \dots & {p}_{1n}\\ & ⋮\\ {p}_{j1}& {p}_{j2}& \dots & {p}_{jn}\\ & ⋮\\ {p}_{k1}& {p}_{k2}& \dots & {p}_{kn}\\ & ⋮\\ {p}_{n1}& {p}_{n2}& \dots & {p}_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Modular Neural Network (Market Volatility Analysis)) X S(n):→ (n+8 weeks) $∑ i = 1 n s i$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of FR stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below:

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

## FR Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+8 weeks)

Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: FR First Industrial Realty Trust
Time series to forecast n: 08 Sep 2022 for (n+8 weeks)

According to price forecasts for (n+8 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold FR stock.

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%

## Conclusions

First Industrial Realty Trust assigned short-term B2 & long-term Baa2 forecasted stock rating. We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (Market Volatility Analysis) with Stepwise Regression1,2,3,4 and conclude that the FR stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+8 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold FR stock.

### Financial State Forecast for FR Stock Options & Futures

Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*B2Baa2
Operational Risk 4389
Market Risk5476
Technical Analysis6779
Fundamental Analysis5480
Risk Unsystematic4488

### Prediction Confidence Score

Trust metric by Neural Network: 87 out of 100 with 675 signals.

## References

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6. uyer, S. Whiteson, B. Bakker, and N. A. Vlassis. Multiagent reinforcement learning for urban traffic control using coordination graphs. In Machine Learning and Knowledge Discovery in Databases, European Conference, ECML/PKDD 2008, Antwerp, Belgium, September 15-19, 2008, Proceedings, Part I, pages 656–671, 2008.
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Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: What is the prediction methodology for FR stock?
A: FR stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (Market Volatility Analysis) and Stepwise Regression
Q: Is FR stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold FR Stock.
Q: Is First Industrial Realty Trust stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for First Industrial Realty Trust is Hold and assigned short-term B2 & long-term Baa2 forecasted stock rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of FR stock?
A: The consensus rating for FR is Hold.
Q: What is the prediction period for FR stock?
A: The prediction period for FR is (n+8 weeks)