Modelling A.I. in Economics

Huntington Stock Forecast, Price & Rating (HBAN)

Abstract

We evaluate Huntington prediction models with Modular Neural Network (DNN Layer) and Logistic Regression1,2,3,4 and conclude that the HBAN stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold HBAN stock.


Keywords: HBAN, Huntington, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.

Key Points

  1. Trust metric by Neural Network
  2. What is prediction model?
  3. How do you know when a stock will go up or down?

HBAN Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider Huntington Stock Decision Process with Logistic Regression where A is the set of discrete actions of HBAN stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4


F(Logistic Regression)5,6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Modular Neural Network (DNN Layer)) X S(n):→ (n+1 year) R = 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of HBAN stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

HBAN Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+1 year)

Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: HBAN Huntington
Time series to forecast n: 09 Sep 2022 for (n+1 year)

According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold HBAN stock.

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%


Conclusions

Huntington assigned short-term Caa2 & long-term B3 forecasted stock rating. We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (DNN Layer) with Logistic Regression1,2,3,4 and conclude that the HBAN stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold HBAN stock.

Financial State Forecast for HBAN Stock Options & Futures

Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*Caa2B3
Operational Risk 4445
Market Risk3637
Technical Analysis3035
Fundamental Analysis4734
Risk Unsystematic4356

Prediction Confidence Score

Trust metric by Neural Network: 90 out of 100 with 504 signals.

References

  1. G. Konidaris, S. Osentoski, and P. Thomas. Value function approximation in reinforcement learning using the Fourier basis. In AAAI, 2011
  2. White H. 1992. Artificial Neural Networks: Approximation and Learning Theory. Oxford, UK: Blackwell
  3. Cortes C, Vapnik V. 1995. Support-vector networks. Mach. Learn. 20:273–97
  4. S. Proper and K. Tumer. Modeling difference rewards for multiagent learning (extended abstract). In Proceedings of the Eleventh International Joint Conference on Autonomous Agents and Multiagent Systems, Valencia, Spain, June 2012
  5. Chen X. 2007. Large sample sieve estimation of semi-nonparametric models. In Handbook of Econometrics, Vol. 6B, ed. JJ Heckman, EE Learner, pp. 5549–632. Amsterdam: Elsevier
  6. Bamler R, Mandt S. 2017. Dynamic word embeddings via skip-gram filtering. In Proceedings of the 34th Inter- national Conference on Machine Learning, pp. 380–89. La Jolla, CA: Int. Mach. Learn. Soc.
  7. N. B ̈auerle and A. Mundt. Dynamic mean-risk optimization in a binomial model. Mathematical Methods of Operations Research, 70(2):219–239, 2009.
Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: What is the prediction methodology for HBAN stock?
A: HBAN stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (DNN Layer) and Logistic Regression
Q: Is HBAN stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold HBAN Stock.
Q: Is Huntington stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for Huntington is Hold and assigned short-term Caa2 & long-term B3 forecasted stock rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of HBAN stock?
A: The consensus rating for HBAN is Hold.
Q: What is the prediction period for HBAN stock?
A: The prediction period for HBAN is (n+1 year)

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