Prediction of stock prices has been an important area of research for a long time. While supporters of the efficient market hypothesis believe that it is impossible to predict stock prices accurately, there are formal propositions demonstrating that accurate modeling and designing of appropriate variables may lead to models using which stock prices and stock price movement patterns can be very accurately predicted. We evaluate Intermediate Capital Group prediction models with Deductive Inference (ML) and Chi-Square1,2,3,4 and conclude that the ICP stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+3 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold ICP stock.

Keywords: ICP, Intermediate Capital Group, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.

## Key Points

1. Game Theory
2. Short/Long Term Stocks
3. Trust metric by Neural Network

## ICP Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

Security indices are the main tools for evaluation of the status of financial markets. Moreover, a main part of the economy of any country is constituted of investment in stock markets. Therefore, investors could maximize the return of investment if it becomes possible to predict the future trend of stock market with appropriate methods. The nonlinearity and nonstationarity of financial series make their prediction complicated. This study seeks to evaluate the prediction power of machine-learning models in a stock market. We consider Intermediate Capital Group Stock Decision Process with Chi-Square where A is the set of discrete actions of ICP stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4

F(Chi-Square)5,6,7= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{a1}& {p}_{a2}& \dots & {p}_{1n}\\ & ⋮\\ {p}_{j1}& {p}_{j2}& \dots & {p}_{jn}\\ & ⋮\\ {p}_{k1}& {p}_{k2}& \dots & {p}_{kn}\\ & ⋮\\ {p}_{n1}& {p}_{n2}& \dots & {p}_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Deductive Inference (ML)) X S(n):→ (n+3 month) $\stackrel{\to }{R}=\left({r}_{1},{r}_{2},{r}_{3}\right)$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of ICP stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below:

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

## ICP Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+3 month)

Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: ICP Intermediate Capital Group
Time series to forecast n: 16 Sep 2022 for (n+3 month)

According to price forecasts for (n+3 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold ICP stock.

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%

## Conclusions

Intermediate Capital Group assigned short-term B2 & long-term B3 forecasted stock rating. We evaluate the prediction models Deductive Inference (ML) with Chi-Square1,2,3,4 and conclude that the ICP stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+3 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold ICP stock.

### Financial State Forecast for ICP Stock Options & Futures

Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*B2B3
Operational Risk 3333
Market Risk4955
Technical Analysis4747
Fundamental Analysis8335
Risk Unsystematic5066

### Prediction Confidence Score

Trust metric by Neural Network: 84 out of 100 with 679 signals.

## References

1. Arjovsky M, Bottou L. 2017. Towards principled methods for training generative adversarial networks. arXiv:1701.04862 [stat.ML]
2. Firth JR. 1957. A synopsis of linguistic theory 1930–1955. In Studies in Linguistic Analysis (Special Volume of the Philological Society), ed. JR Firth, pp. 1–32. Oxford, UK: Blackwell
3. Miller A. 2002. Subset Selection in Regression. New York: CRC Press
4. Angrist JD, Pischke JS. 2008. Mostly Harmless Econometrics: An Empiricist's Companion. Princeton, NJ: Princeton Univ. Press
5. V. Borkar. Q-learning for risk-sensitive control. Mathematics of Operations Research, 27:294–311, 2002.
6. Kallus N. 2017. Balanced policy evaluation and learning. arXiv:1705.07384 [stat.ML]
7. Hastie T, Tibshirani R, Wainwright M. 2015. Statistical Learning with Sparsity: The Lasso and Generalizations. New York: CRC Press
Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: What is the prediction methodology for ICP stock?
A: ICP stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Deductive Inference (ML) and Chi-Square
Q: Is ICP stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold ICP Stock.
Q: Is Intermediate Capital Group stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for Intermediate Capital Group is Hold and assigned short-term B2 & long-term B3 forecasted stock rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of ICP stock?
A: The consensus rating for ICP is Hold.
Q: What is the prediction period for ICP stock?
A: The prediction period for ICP is (n+3 month)

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