## Abstract

**We evaluate Casey's General Stores prediction models with Modular Neural Network (News Feed Sentiment Analysis) and Wilcoxon Rank-Sum Test ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the CASY stock is predictable in the short/long term. **

**According to price forecasts for (n+4 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold CASY stock.**

**CASY, Casey's General Stores, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.**

*Keywords:*## Key Points

- Probability Distribution
- Buy, Sell and Hold Signals
- Trust metric by Neural Network

## CASY Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider Casey's General Stores Stock Decision Process with Wilcoxon Rank-Sum Test where A is the set of discrete actions of CASY stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.^{1,2,3,4}

F(Wilcoxon Rank-Sum Test)

^{5,6,7}= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{\mathrm{a}1}& {p}_{\mathrm{a}2}& \dots & {p}_{1n}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{j1}& {p}_{j2}& \dots & {p}_{jn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{k1}& {p}_{k2}& \dots & {p}_{kn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{n1}& {p}_{n2}& \dots & {p}_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Modular Neural Network (News Feed Sentiment Analysis)) X S(n):→ (n+4 weeks) $\sum _{i=1}^{n}\left({s}_{i}\right)$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of CASY stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below:

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

## CASY Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+4 weeks)

**Sample Set:**Neural Network

**Stock/Index:**CASY Casey's General Stores

**Time series to forecast n: 02 Sep 2022**for (n+4 weeks)

**According to price forecasts for (n+4 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold CASY stock.**

**X axis: *Likelihood%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

**Y axis: *Potential Impact%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

**Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%**

## Conclusions

Casey's General Stores assigned short-term B2 & long-term Ba3 forecasted stock rating.** We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (News Feed Sentiment Analysis) with Wilcoxon Rank-Sum Test ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the CASY stock is predictable in the short/long term.**

**According to price forecasts for (n+4 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold CASY stock.**

### Financial State Forecast for CASY Stock Options & Futures

Rating | Short-Term | Long-Term Senior |
---|---|---|

Outlook* | B2 | Ba3 |

Operational Risk | 68 | 50 |

Market Risk | 40 | 82 |

Technical Analysis | 44 | 46 |

Fundamental Analysis | 54 | 50 |

Risk Unsystematic | 54 | 77 |

### Prediction Confidence Score

## References

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## Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is the prediction methodology for CASY stock?A: CASY stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (News Feed Sentiment Analysis) and Wilcoxon Rank-Sum Test

Q: Is CASY stock a buy or sell?

A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold CASY Stock.

Q: Is Casey's General Stores stock a good investment?

A: The consensus rating for Casey's General Stores is Hold and assigned short-term B2 & long-term Ba3 forecasted stock rating.

Q: What is the consensus rating of CASY stock?

A: The consensus rating for CASY is Hold.

Q: What is the prediction period for CASY stock?

A: The prediction period for CASY is (n+4 weeks)