Complex networks in stock market and stock price volatility pattern prediction are the important issues in stock price research. Previous studies have used historical information regarding a single stock to predict the future trend of the stock's price, seldom considering comovement among stocks in the same market. In this study, in order to extract the information about relation stocks for prediction, we try to combine the complex network method with machine learning to predict stock price patterns. We evaluate DTE prediction models with Modular Neural Network (Emotional Trigger/Responses Analysis) and Factor1,2,3,4 and conclude that the DTE stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold DTE stock.

Keywords: DTE, DTE, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.

## Key Points

1. Probability Distribution
3. Should I buy stocks now or wait amid such uncertainty?

## DTE Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

In recent years there has been a significant growth of interest in the incorporation of historical series of variables related to stock prediction into mathematical models or computational algorithms in order to generate predictions or indications about expected price movements. We consider DTE Stock Decision Process with Factor where A is the set of discrete actions of DTE stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4

F(Factor)5,6,7= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{a1}& {p}_{a2}& \dots & {p}_{1n}\\ & ⋮\\ {p}_{j1}& {p}_{j2}& \dots & {p}_{jn}\\ & ⋮\\ {p}_{k1}& {p}_{k2}& \dots & {p}_{kn}\\ & ⋮\\ {p}_{n1}& {p}_{n2}& \dots & {p}_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Modular Neural Network (Emotional Trigger/Responses Analysis)) X S(n):→ (n+1 year) $\begin{array}{l}\int {e}^{x}\mathrm{rx}\end{array}$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of DTE stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

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## DTE Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+1 year)

Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: DTE DTE
Time series to forecast n: 16 Sep 2022 for (n+1 year)

According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold DTE stock.

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%

## Conclusions

DTE assigned short-term B2 & long-term B3 forecasted stock rating. We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (Emotional Trigger/Responses Analysis) with Factor1,2,3,4 and conclude that the DTE stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold DTE stock.

### Financial State Forecast for DTE Stock Options & Futures

Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*B2B3
Operational Risk 5236
Market Risk8649
Technical Analysis5134
Fundamental Analysis4339
Risk Unsystematic3851

### Prediction Confidence Score

Trust metric by Neural Network: 91 out of 100 with 453 signals.

## References

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5. Byron, R. P. O. Ashenfelter (1995), "Predicting the quality of an unborn grange," Economic Record, 71, 40–53.
6. Hirano K, Porter JR. 2009. Asymptotics for statistical treatment rules. Econometrica 77:1683–701
7. Abadir, K. M., K. Hadri E. Tzavalis (1999), "The influence of VAR dimensions on estimator biases," Econometrica, 67, 163–181.
Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: What is the prediction methodology for DTE stock?
A: DTE stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (Emotional Trigger/Responses Analysis) and Factor
Q: Is DTE stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold DTE Stock.
Q: Is DTE stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for DTE is Hold and assigned short-term B2 & long-term B3 forecasted stock rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of DTE stock?
A: The consensus rating for DTE is Hold.
Q: What is the prediction period for DTE stock?
A: The prediction period for DTE is (n+1 year)

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