LON:NBDG Target Price Forecast


Abstract

We evaluate NB DISTRESSED DEBT INVESTMENT FUND LIMITED prediction models with Modular Neural Network (Market Volatility Analysis) and Independent T-Test1,2,3,4 and conclude that the LON:NBDG stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+3 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy LON:NBDG stock.


Keywords: LON:NBDG, NB DISTRESSED DEBT INVESTMENT FUND LIMITED, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.

Key Points

  1. Operational Risk
  2. Is it better to buy and sell or hold?
  3. Technical Analysis with Algorithmic Trading

LON:NBDG Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider NB DISTRESSED DEBT INVESTMENT FUND LIMITED Stock Decision Process with Independent T-Test where A is the set of discrete actions of LON:NBDG stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4


F(Independent T-Test)5,6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Modular Neural Network (Market Volatility Analysis)) X S(n):→ (n+3 month) S = s 1 s 2 s 3

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of LON:NBDG stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

LON:NBDG Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+3 month)

Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: LON:NBDG NB DISTRESSED DEBT INVESTMENT FUND LIMITED
Time series to forecast n: 08 Sep 2022 for (n+3 month)

According to price forecasts for (n+3 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy LON:NBDG stock.

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%


Conclusions

NB DISTRESSED DEBT INVESTMENT FUND LIMITED assigned short-term B3 & long-term Ba3 forecasted stock rating. We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (Market Volatility Analysis) with Independent T-Test1,2,3,4 and conclude that the LON:NBDG stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+3 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy LON:NBDG stock.

Financial State Forecast for LON:NBDG Stock Options & Futures

Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*B3Ba3
Operational Risk 8750
Market Risk3873
Technical Analysis3568
Fundamental Analysis5842
Risk Unsystematic3590

Prediction Confidence Score

Trust metric by Neural Network: 92 out of 100 with 723 signals.

References

  1. Abadie A, Diamond A, Hainmueller J. 2015. Comparative politics and the synthetic control method. Am. J. Political Sci. 59:495–510
  2. Chernozhukov V, Newey W, Robins J. 2018c. Double/de-biased machine learning using regularized Riesz representers. arXiv:1802.08667 [stat.ML]
  3. Knox SW. 2018. Machine Learning: A Concise Introduction. Hoboken, NJ: Wiley
  4. Hornik K, Stinchcombe M, White H. 1989. Multilayer feedforward networks are universal approximators. Neural Netw. 2:359–66
  5. Belsley, D. A. (1988), "Modelling and forecast reliability," International Journal of Forecasting, 4, 427–447.
  6. Ashley, R. (1988), "On the relative worth of recent macroeconomic forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, 4, 363–376.
  7. H. Khalil and J. Grizzle. Nonlinear systems, volume 3. Prentice hall Upper Saddle River, 2002.
Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: What is the prediction methodology for LON:NBDG stock?
A: LON:NBDG stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (Market Volatility Analysis) and Independent T-Test
Q: Is LON:NBDG stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy LON:NBDG Stock.
Q: Is NB DISTRESSED DEBT INVESTMENT FUND LIMITED stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for NB DISTRESSED DEBT INVESTMENT FUND LIMITED is Buy and assigned short-term B3 & long-term Ba3 forecasted stock rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of LON:NBDG stock?
A: The consensus rating for LON:NBDG is Buy.
Q: What is the prediction period for LON:NBDG stock?
A: The prediction period for LON:NBDG is (n+3 month)

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