## Abstract

**We evaluate Marathon Petroleum prediction models with Modular Neural Network (Market News Sentiment Analysis) and Stepwise Regression ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the MPC stock is predictable in the short/long term. **

**According to price forecasts for (n+6 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell MPC stock.**

**MPC, Marathon Petroleum, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.**

*Keywords:*## Key Points

- Technical Analysis with Algorithmic Trading
- Is it better to buy and sell or hold?
- Market Signals

## MPC Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider Marathon Petroleum Stock Decision Process with Stepwise Regression where A is the set of discrete actions of MPC stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.^{1,2,3,4}

F(Stepwise Regression)

^{5,6,7}= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{\mathrm{a}1}& {p}_{\mathrm{a}2}& \dots & {p}_{1n}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{j1}& {p}_{j2}& \dots & {p}_{jn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{k1}& {p}_{k2}& \dots & {p}_{kn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{n1}& {p}_{n2}& \dots & {p}_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Modular Neural Network (Market News Sentiment Analysis)) X S(n):→ (n+6 month) $R=\left(\begin{array}{ccc}1& 0& 0\\ 0& 1& 0\\ 0& 0& 1\end{array}\right)$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of MPC stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below:

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

## MPC Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+6 month)

**Sample Set:**Neural Network

**Stock/Index:**MPC Marathon Petroleum

**Time series to forecast n: 04 Sep 2022**for (n+6 month)

**According to price forecasts for (n+6 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell MPC stock.**

**X axis: *Likelihood%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

**Y axis: *Potential Impact%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

**Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%**

## Conclusions

Marathon Petroleum assigned short-term Ba2 & long-term B2 forecasted stock rating.** We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (Market News Sentiment Analysis) with Stepwise Regression ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the MPC stock is predictable in the short/long term.**

**According to price forecasts for (n+6 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell MPC stock.**

### Financial State Forecast for MPC Stock Options & Futures

Rating | Short-Term | Long-Term Senior |
---|---|---|

Outlook* | Ba2 | B2 |

Operational Risk | 78 | 41 |

Market Risk | 69 | 36 |

Technical Analysis | 52 | 85 |

Fundamental Analysis | 63 | 58 |

Risk Unsystematic | 86 | 43 |

### Prediction Confidence Score

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## Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is the prediction methodology for MPC stock?A: MPC stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (Market News Sentiment Analysis) and Stepwise Regression

Q: Is MPC stock a buy or sell?

A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell MPC Stock.

Q: Is Marathon Petroleum stock a good investment?

A: The consensus rating for Marathon Petroleum is Sell and assigned short-term Ba2 & long-term B2 forecasted stock rating.

Q: What is the consensus rating of MPC stock?

A: The consensus rating for MPC is Sell.

Q: What is the prediction period for MPC stock?

A: The prediction period for MPC is (n+6 month)