## Abstract

**We evaluate Nike prediction models with Modular Neural Network (News Feed Sentiment Analysis) and Independent T-Test ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the NKE stock is predictable in the short/long term. **

**According to price forecasts for (n+3 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold NKE stock.**

**NKE, Nike, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.**

*Keywords:*## Key Points

- Trading Interaction
- Can machine learning predict?
- Technical Analysis with Algorithmic Trading

## NKE Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider Nike Stock Decision Process with Independent T-Test where A is the set of discrete actions of NKE stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.^{1,2,3,4}

F(Independent T-Test)

^{5,6,7}= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{\mathrm{a}1}& {p}_{\mathrm{a}2}& \dots & {p}_{1n}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{j1}& {p}_{j2}& \dots & {p}_{jn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{k1}& {p}_{k2}& \dots & {p}_{kn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{n1}& {p}_{n2}& \dots & {p}_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Modular Neural Network (News Feed Sentiment Analysis)) X S(n):→ (n+3 month) $\begin{array}{l}\int {e}^{x}\mathrm{rx}\end{array}$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of NKE stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below:

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

## NKE Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+3 month)

**Sample Set:**Neural Network

**Stock/Index:**NKE Nike

**Time series to forecast n: 05 Sep 2022**for (n+3 month)

**According to price forecasts for (n+3 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold NKE stock.**

**X axis: *Likelihood%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

**Y axis: *Potential Impact%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

**Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%**

## Conclusions

Nike assigned short-term B3 & long-term B1 forecasted stock rating.** We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (News Feed Sentiment Analysis) with Independent T-Test ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the NKE stock is predictable in the short/long term.**

**According to price forecasts for (n+3 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold NKE stock.**

### Financial State Forecast for NKE Stock Options & Futures

Rating | Short-Term | Long-Term Senior |
---|---|---|

Outlook* | B3 | B1 |

Operational Risk | 47 | 38 |

Market Risk | 56 | 86 |

Technical Analysis | 35 | 44 |

Fundamental Analysis | 61 | 52 |

Risk Unsystematic | 36 | 75 |

### Prediction Confidence Score

## References

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- Künzel S, Sekhon J, Bickel P, Yu B. 2017. Meta-learners for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects using machine learning. arXiv:1706.03461 [math.ST]
- Ashley, R. (1983), "On the usefulness of macroeconomic forecasts as inputs to forecasting models," Journal of Forecasting, 2, 211–223.
- Breiman L. 1996. Bagging predictors. Mach. Learn. 24:123–40
- D. Bertsekas. Dynamic programming and optimal control. Athena Scientific, 1995.
- Breusch, T. S. A. R. Pagan (1979), "A simple test for heteroskedasticity and random coefficient variation," Econometrica, 47, 1287–1294.
- M. J. Hausknecht and P. Stone. Deep recurrent Q-learning for partially observable MDPs. CoRR, abs/1507.06527, 2015

## Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is the prediction methodology for NKE stock?A: NKE stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (News Feed Sentiment Analysis) and Independent T-Test

Q: Is NKE stock a buy or sell?

A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold NKE Stock.

Q: Is Nike stock a good investment?

A: The consensus rating for Nike is Hold and assigned short-term B3 & long-term B1 forecasted stock rating.

Q: What is the consensus rating of NKE stock?

A: The consensus rating for NKE is Hold.

Q: What is the prediction period for NKE stock?

A: The prediction period for NKE is (n+3 month)

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