Stock price prediction has always been a challenging task for the researchers in financial domain. While the Efficient Market Hypothesis claims that it is impossible to predict stock prices accurately, there are work in the literature that have demonstrated that stock price movements can be forecasted with a reasonable degree of accuracy, if appropriate variables are chosen and suitable predictive models are built using those variables. In this work, we present a robust and accurate framework of stock price prediction using statistical, machine learning and deep learning methods We evaluate DLF Limited prediction models with Modular Neural Network (Emotional Trigger/Responses Analysis) and Multiple Regression1,2,3,4 and conclude that the NSE DLF stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+8 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold NSE DLF stock.
Keywords: NSE DLF, DLF Limited, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.
Key Points
- What is the use of Markov decision process?
- How accurate is machine learning in stock market?
- Understanding Buy, Sell, and Hold Ratings
NSE DLF Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology
The classical linear multi-factor stock selection model is widely used for long-term stock price trend prediction. However, the stock market is chaotic, complex, and dynamic, for which reasons the linear model assumption may be unreasonable, and it is more meaningful to construct a better-integrated stock selection model based on different feature selection and nonlinear stock price trend prediction methods. We consider DLF Limited Stock Decision Process with Multiple Regression where A is the set of discrete actions of NSE DLF stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4
F(Multiple Regression)5,6,7= X R(Modular Neural Network (Emotional Trigger/Responses Analysis)) X S(n):→ (n+8 weeks)
n:Time series to forecast
p:Price signals of NSE DLF stock
j:Nash equilibria
k:Dominated move
a:Best response for target price
For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below:
How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?
NSE DLF Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+8 weeks)
Sample Set: Neural NetworkStock/Index: NSE DLF DLF Limited
Time series to forecast n: 26 Sep 2022 for (n+8 weeks)
According to price forecasts for (n+8 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold NSE DLF stock.
X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)
Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)
Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%
Conclusions
DLF Limited assigned short-term B2 & long-term Ba3 forecasted stock rating. We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (Emotional Trigger/Responses Analysis) with Multiple Regression1,2,3,4 and conclude that the NSE DLF stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+8 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold NSE DLF stock.
Financial State Forecast for NSE DLF Stock Options & Futures
| Rating | Short-Term | Long-Term Senior |
|---|---|---|
| Outlook* | B2 | Ba3 |
| Operational Risk | 87 | 50 |
| Market Risk | 35 | 61 |
| Technical Analysis | 38 | 90 |
| Fundamental Analysis | 61 | 76 |
| Risk Unsystematic | 45 | 41 |
Prediction Confidence Score
References
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- E. van der Pol and F. A. Oliehoek. Coordinated deep reinforcement learners for traffic light control. NIPS Workshop on Learning, Inference and Control of Multi-Agent Systems, 2016.
- Arora S, Li Y, Liang Y, Ma T. 2016. RAND-WALK: a latent variable model approach to word embeddings. Trans. Assoc. Comput. Linguist. 4:385–99
- Dietterich TG. 2000. Ensemble methods in machine learning. In Multiple Classifier Systems: First International Workshop, Cagliari, Italy, June 21–23, pp. 1–15. Berlin: Springer
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Frequently Asked Questions
Q: What is the prediction methodology for NSE DLF stock?A: NSE DLF stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (Emotional Trigger/Responses Analysis) and Multiple Regression
Q: Is NSE DLF stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold NSE DLF Stock.
Q: Is DLF Limited stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for DLF Limited is Hold and assigned short-term B2 & long-term Ba3 forecasted stock rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of NSE DLF stock?
A: The consensus rating for NSE DLF is Hold.
Q: What is the prediction period for NSE DLF stock?
A: The prediction period for NSE DLF is (n+8 weeks)
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