## Abstract

**We evaluate Nvidia prediction models with Modular Neural Network (News Feed Sentiment Analysis) and Paired T-Test ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the NVDA stock is predictable in the short/long term. **

**According to price forecasts for (n+8 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold NVDA stock.**

**NVDA, Nvidia, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.**

*Keywords:*## Key Points

- Why do we need predictive models?
- Technical Analysis with Algorithmic Trading
- Trading Signals

## NVDA Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider Nvidia Stock Decision Process with Paired T-Test where A is the set of discrete actions of NVDA stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.^{1,2,3,4}

F(Paired T-Test)

^{5,6,7}= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{\mathrm{a}1}& {p}_{\mathrm{a}2}& \dots & {p}_{1n}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{j1}& {p}_{j2}& \dots & {p}_{jn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{k1}& {p}_{k2}& \dots & {p}_{kn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{n1}& {p}_{n2}& \dots & {p}_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Modular Neural Network (News Feed Sentiment Analysis)) X S(n):→ (n+8 weeks) $\begin{array}{l}\int {e}^{x}\mathrm{rx}\end{array}$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of NVDA stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below:

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

## NVDA Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+8 weeks)

**Sample Set:**Neural Network

**Stock/Index:**NVDA Nvidia

**Time series to forecast n: 03 Sep 2022**for (n+8 weeks)

**According to price forecasts for (n+8 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold NVDA stock.**

**X axis: *Likelihood%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

**Y axis: *Potential Impact%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

**Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%**

## Conclusions

Nvidia assigned short-term B1 & long-term Ba2 forecasted stock rating.** We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (News Feed Sentiment Analysis) with Paired T-Test ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the NVDA stock is predictable in the short/long term.**

**According to price forecasts for (n+8 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold NVDA stock.**

### Financial State Forecast for NVDA Stock Options & Futures

Rating | Short-Term | Long-Term Senior |
---|---|---|

Outlook* | B1 | Ba2 |

Operational Risk | 41 | 90 |

Market Risk | 68 | 38 |

Technical Analysis | 63 | 56 |

Fundamental Analysis | 81 | 64 |

Risk Unsystematic | 41 | 87 |

### Prediction Confidence Score

## References

- Clements, M. P. D. F. Hendry (1997), "An empirical study of seasonal unit roots in forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, 13, 341–355.
- G. Konidaris, S. Osentoski, and P. Thomas. Value function approximation in reinforcement learning using the Fourier basis. In AAAI, 2011
- Nie X, Wager S. 2019. Quasi-oracle estimation of heterogeneous treatment effects. arXiv:1712.04912 [stat.ML]
- R. Sutton and A. Barto. Reinforcement Learning. The MIT Press, 1998
- V. Borkar. An actor-critic algorithm for constrained Markov decision processes. Systems & Control Letters, 54(3):207–213, 2005.
- Kitagawa T, Tetenov A. 2015. Who should be treated? Empirical welfare maximization methods for treatment choice. Tech. Rep., Cent. Microdata Methods Pract., Inst. Fiscal Stud., London
- Varian HR. 2014. Big data: new tricks for econometrics. J. Econ. Perspect. 28:3–28

## Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is the prediction methodology for NVDA stock?A: NVDA stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (News Feed Sentiment Analysis) and Paired T-Test

Q: Is NVDA stock a buy or sell?

A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold NVDA Stock.

Q: Is Nvidia stock a good investment?

A: The consensus rating for Nvidia is Hold and assigned short-term B1 & long-term Ba2 forecasted stock rating.

Q: What is the consensus rating of NVDA stock?

A: The consensus rating for NVDA is Hold.

Q: What is the prediction period for NVDA stock?

A: The prediction period for NVDA is (n+8 weeks)