Modelling A.I. in Economics

Short/Long Term Stocks: NSE FLUOROCHEM Stock Forecast

Stock price forecasting is a popular and important topic in financial and academic studies. Share market is an volatile place for predicting since there are no significant rules to estimate or predict the price of a share in the share market. Many methods like technical analysis, fundamental analysis, time series analysis and statistical analysis etc. are used to predict the price in tie share market but none of these methods are proved as a consistently acceptable prediction tool. In this paper, we implemented a Random Forest approach to predict stock market prices. We evaluate Gujarat Fluorochemicals Limited prediction models with Deductive Inference (ML) and Stepwise Regression1,2,3,4 and conclude that the NSE FLUOROCHEM stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+6 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold NSE FLUOROCHEM stock.


Keywords: NSE FLUOROCHEM, Gujarat Fluorochemicals Limited, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.

Key Points

  1. Trading Interaction
  2. Is it better to buy and sell or hold?
  3. Should I buy stocks now or wait amid such uncertainty?

NSE FLUOROCHEM Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

This paper aims to develop an innovative neural network approach to achieve better stock market predictions. Data were obtained from the live stock market for real-time and off-line analysis and results of visualizations and analytics to demonstrate Internet of Multimedia of Things for stock analysis. To study the influence of market characteristics on stock prices, traditional neural network algorithms may incorrectly predict the stock market, since the initial weight of the random selection problem can be easily prone to incorrect predictions. We consider Gujarat Fluorochemicals Limited Stock Decision Process with Stepwise Regression where A is the set of discrete actions of NSE FLUOROCHEM stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4


F(Stepwise Regression)5,6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Deductive Inference (ML)) X S(n):→ (n+6 month) r s rs

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of NSE FLUOROCHEM stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

NSE FLUOROCHEM Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+6 month)

Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: NSE FLUOROCHEM Gujarat Fluorochemicals Limited
Time series to forecast n: 28 Sep 2022 for (n+6 month)

According to price forecasts for (n+6 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold NSE FLUOROCHEM stock.

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%


Conclusions

Gujarat Fluorochemicals Limited assigned short-term Ba3 & long-term B1 forecasted stock rating. We evaluate the prediction models Deductive Inference (ML) with Stepwise Regression1,2,3,4 and conclude that the NSE FLUOROCHEM stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+6 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold NSE FLUOROCHEM stock.

Financial State Forecast for NSE FLUOROCHEM Stock Options & Futures

Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*Ba3B1
Operational Risk 4340
Market Risk5133
Technical Analysis7775
Fundamental Analysis7959
Risk Unsystematic6573

Prediction Confidence Score

Trust metric by Neural Network: 91 out of 100 with 498 signals.

References

  1. V. Mnih, A. P. Badia, M. Mirza, A. Graves, T. P. Lillicrap, T. Harley, D. Silver, and K. Kavukcuoglu. Asynchronous methods for deep reinforcement learning. In Proceedings of the 33nd International Conference on Machine Learning, ICML 2016, New York City, NY, USA, June 19-24, 2016, pages 1928–1937, 2016
  2. M. J. Hausknecht. Cooperation and Communication in Multiagent Deep Reinforcement Learning. PhD thesis, The University of Texas at Austin, 2016
  3. Athey S, Wager S. 2017. Efficient policy learning. arXiv:1702.02896 [math.ST]
  4. Meinshausen N. 2007. Relaxed lasso. Comput. Stat. Data Anal. 52:374–93
  5. J. G. Schneider, W. Wong, A. W. Moore, and M. A. Riedmiller. Distributed value functions. In Proceedings of the Sixteenth International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML 1999), Bled, Slovenia, June 27 - 30, 1999, pages 371–378, 1999.
  6. A. Shapiro, W. Tekaya, J. da Costa, and M. Soares. Risk neutral and risk averse stochastic dual dynamic programming method. European journal of operational research, 224(2):375–391, 2013
  7. Athey S. 2019. The impact of machine learning on economics. In The Economics of Artificial Intelligence: An Agenda, ed. AK Agrawal, J Gans, A Goldfarb. Chicago: Univ. Chicago Press. In press
Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: What is the prediction methodology for NSE FLUOROCHEM stock?
A: NSE FLUOROCHEM stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Deductive Inference (ML) and Stepwise Regression
Q: Is NSE FLUOROCHEM stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold NSE FLUOROCHEM Stock.
Q: Is Gujarat Fluorochemicals Limited stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for Gujarat Fluorochemicals Limited is Hold and assigned short-term Ba3 & long-term B1 forecasted stock rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of NSE FLUOROCHEM stock?
A: The consensus rating for NSE FLUOROCHEM is Hold.
Q: What is the prediction period for NSE FLUOROCHEM stock?
A: The prediction period for NSE FLUOROCHEM is (n+6 month)

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