## Abstract

**We evaluate Ralph Lauren Corporation prediction models with Ensemble Learning (ML) and Wilcoxon Sign-Rank Test ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the RL stock is predictable in the short/long term. **

**According to price forecasts for (n+4 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy RL stock.**

**RL, Ralph Lauren Corporation, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.**

*Keywords:*## Key Points

- What are the most successful trading algorithms?
- What are main components of Markov decision process?
- Trading Signals

## RL Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider Ralph Lauren Corporation Stock Decision Process with Wilcoxon Sign-Rank Test where A is the set of discrete actions of RL stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and Î³ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.^{1,2,3,4}

F(Wilcoxon Sign-Rank Test)

^{5,6,7}= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{\mathrm{a}1}& {p}_{\mathrm{a}2}& \dots & {p}_{1n}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{j1}& {p}_{j2}& \dots & {p}_{jn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{k1}& {p}_{k2}& \dots & {p}_{kn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{n1}& {p}_{n2}& \dots & {p}_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Ensemble Learning (ML)) X S(n):→ (n+4 weeks) $R=\left(\begin{array}{ccc}1& 0& 0\\ 0& 1& 0\\ 0& 0& 1\end{array}\right)$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of RL stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below:

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

## RL Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+4 weeks)

**Sample Set:**Neural Network

**Stock/Index:**RL Ralph Lauren Corporation

**Time series to forecast n: 02 Sep 2022**for (n+4 weeks)

**According to price forecasts for (n+4 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy RL stock.**

**X axis: *Likelihood%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

**Y axis: *Potential Impact%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

**Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%**

## Conclusions

Ralph Lauren Corporation assigned short-term B1 & long-term B1 forecasted stock rating.** We evaluate the prediction models Ensemble Learning (ML) with Wilcoxon Sign-Rank Test ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the RL stock is predictable in the short/long term.**

**According to price forecasts for (n+4 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy RL stock.**

### Financial State Forecast for RL Stock Options & Futures

Rating | Short-Term | Long-Term Senior |
---|---|---|

Outlook* | B1 | B1 |

Operational Risk | 81 | 65 |

Market Risk | 75 | 46 |

Technical Analysis | 43 | 86 |

Fundamental Analysis | 51 | 58 |

Risk Unsystematic | 61 | 41 |

### Prediction Confidence Score

## References

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- Christou, C., P. A. V. B. Swamy G. S. Tavlas (1996), "Modelling optimal strategies for the allocation of wealth in multicurrency investments," International Journal of Forecasting, 12, 483–493.
- Miller A. 2002. Subset Selection in Regression. New York: CRC Press
- A. Shapiro, W. Tekaya, J. da Costa, and M. Soares. Risk neutral and risk averse stochastic dual dynamic programming method. European journal of operational research, 224(2):375–391, 2013
- Athey S, Bayati M, Imbens G, Zhaonan Q. 2019. Ensemble methods for causal effects in panel data settings. NBER Work. Pap. 25675
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- Hoerl AE, Kennard RW. 1970. Ridge regression: biased estimation for nonorthogonal problems. Technometrics 12:55–67

## Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is the prediction methodology for RL stock?A: RL stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Ensemble Learning (ML) and Wilcoxon Sign-Rank Test

Q: Is RL stock a buy or sell?

A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy RL Stock.

Q: Is Ralph Lauren Corporation stock a good investment?

A: The consensus rating for Ralph Lauren Corporation is Buy and assigned short-term B1 & long-term B1 forecasted stock rating.

Q: What is the consensus rating of RL stock?

A: The consensus rating for RL is Buy.

Q: What is the prediction period for RL stock?

A: The prediction period for RL is (n+4 weeks)