Modelling A.I. in Economics

Should You Buy LON:ASY Right Now? (Stock Forecast)

This paper studies the possibilities of making prediction of stock market prices using historical data and machine learning algorithms. We evaluate ANDREWS SYKES GROUP PLC prediction models with Transductive Learning (ML) and ElasticNet Regression1,2,3,4 and conclude that the LON:ASY stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+6 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold LON:ASY stock.


Keywords: LON:ASY, ANDREWS SYKES GROUP PLC, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.

Key Points

  1. How useful are statistical predictions?
  2. Buy, Sell and Hold Signals
  3. What is neural prediction?

LON:ASY Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

Stock market trading is an activity in which investors need fast and accurate information to make effective decisions. Since many stocks are traded on a stock exchange, numerous factors influence the decision-making process. Moreover, the behaviour of stock prices is uncertain and hard to predict. For these reasons, stock price prediction is an important process and a challenging one. We consider ANDREWS SYKES GROUP PLC Stock Decision Process with ElasticNet Regression where A is the set of discrete actions of LON:ASY stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4


F(ElasticNet Regression)5,6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Transductive Learning (ML)) X S(n):→ (n+6 month) R = 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of LON:ASY stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

LON:ASY Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+6 month)

Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: LON:ASY ANDREWS SYKES GROUP PLC
Time series to forecast n: 09 Sep 2022 for (n+6 month)

According to price forecasts for (n+6 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold LON:ASY stock.

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%


Conclusions

ANDREWS SYKES GROUP PLC assigned short-term Ba2 & long-term B2 forecasted stock rating. We evaluate the prediction models Transductive Learning (ML) with ElasticNet Regression1,2,3,4 and conclude that the LON:ASY stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+6 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold LON:ASY stock.

Financial State Forecast for LON:ASY Stock Options & Futures

Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*Ba2B2
Operational Risk 6352
Market Risk6538
Technical Analysis4878
Fundamental Analysis7949
Risk Unsystematic8940

Prediction Confidence Score

Trust metric by Neural Network: 90 out of 100 with 629 signals.

References

  1. Athey S, Imbens G, Wager S. 2016a. Efficient inference of average treatment effects in high dimensions via approximate residual balancing. arXiv:1604.07125 [math.ST]
  2. J. Hu and M. P. Wellman. Nash q-learning for general-sum stochastic games. Journal of Machine Learning Research, 4:1039–1069, 2003.
  3. Chen, C. L. Liu (1993), "Joint estimation of model parameters and outlier effects in time series," Journal of the American Statistical Association, 88, 284–297.
  4. Bottou L. 2012. Stochastic gradient descent tricks. In Neural Networks: Tricks of the Trade, ed. G Montavon, G Orr, K-R Müller, pp. 421–36. Berlin: Springer
  5. M. J. Hausknecht. Cooperation and Communication in Multiagent Deep Reinforcement Learning. PhD thesis, The University of Texas at Austin, 2016
  6. Matzkin RL. 1994. Restrictions of economic theory in nonparametric methods. In Handbook of Econometrics, Vol. 4, ed. R Engle, D McFadden, pp. 2523–58. Amsterdam: Elsevier
  7. J. Peters, S. Vijayakumar, and S. Schaal. Natural actor-critic. In Proceedings of the Sixteenth European Conference on Machine Learning, pages 280–291, 2005.
Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: What is the prediction methodology for LON:ASY stock?
A: LON:ASY stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Transductive Learning (ML) and ElasticNet Regression
Q: Is LON:ASY stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold LON:ASY Stock.
Q: Is ANDREWS SYKES GROUP PLC stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for ANDREWS SYKES GROUP PLC is Hold and assigned short-term Ba2 & long-term B2 forecasted stock rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of LON:ASY stock?
A: The consensus rating for LON:ASY is Hold.
Q: What is the prediction period for LON:ASY stock?
A: The prediction period for LON:ASY is (n+6 month)



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