## Abstract

**We evaluate JBG Smith prediction models with Modular Neural Network (Emotional Trigger/Responses Analysis) and Statistical Hypothesis Testing ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the JBGS stock is predictable in the short/long term. **

**According to price forecasts for (n+16 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell JBGS stock.**

**JBGS, JBG Smith, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.**

*Keywords:*## Key Points

- Market Risk
- Can machine learning predict?
- What are the most successful trading algorithms?

## JBGS Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider JBG Smith Stock Decision Process with Statistical Hypothesis Testing where A is the set of discrete actions of JBGS stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.^{1,2,3,4}

F(Statistical Hypothesis Testing)

^{5,6,7}= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{\mathrm{a}1}& {p}_{\mathrm{a}2}& \dots & {p}_{1n}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{j1}& {p}_{j2}& \dots & {p}_{jn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{k1}& {p}_{k2}& \dots & {p}_{kn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{n1}& {p}_{n2}& \dots & {p}_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Modular Neural Network (Emotional Trigger/Responses Analysis)) X S(n):→ (n+16 weeks) $\sum _{i=1}^{n}\left({a}_{i}\right)$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of JBGS stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below:

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

## JBGS Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+16 weeks)

**Sample Set:**Neural Network

**Stock/Index:**JBGS JBG Smith

**Time series to forecast n: 01 Sep 2022**for (n+16 weeks)

**According to price forecasts for (n+16 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell JBGS stock.**

**X axis: *Likelihood%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

**Y axis: *Potential Impact%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

**Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%**

## Conclusions

JBG Smith assigned short-term Ba3 & long-term B3 forecasted stock rating.** We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (Emotional Trigger/Responses Analysis) with Statistical Hypothesis Testing ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the JBGS stock is predictable in the short/long term.**

**According to price forecasts for (n+16 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell JBGS stock.**

### Financial State Forecast for JBGS Stock Options & Futures

Rating | Short-Term | Long-Term Senior |
---|---|---|

Outlook* | Ba3 | B3 |

Operational Risk | 81 | 40 |

Market Risk | 46 | 52 |

Technical Analysis | 87 | 43 |

Fundamental Analysis | 40 | 56 |

Risk Unsystematic | 61 | 42 |

### Prediction Confidence Score

## References

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## Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is the prediction methodology for JBGS stock?A: JBGS stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (Emotional Trigger/Responses Analysis) and Statistical Hypothesis Testing

Q: Is JBGS stock a buy or sell?

A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell JBGS Stock.

Q: Is JBG Smith stock a good investment?

A: The consensus rating for JBG Smith is Sell and assigned short-term Ba3 & long-term B3 forecasted stock rating.

Q: What is the consensus rating of JBGS stock?

A: The consensus rating for JBGS is Sell.

Q: What is the prediction period for JBGS stock?

A: The prediction period for JBGS is (n+16 weeks)