Abstract
We evaluate Kroger prediction models with Transductive Learning (ML) and Sign Test1,2,3,4 and conclude that the KR stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+16 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Strong Sell KR stock.
Keywords: KR, Kroger, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.
Key Points
- Can neural networks predict stock market?
- How do you decide buy or sell a stock?
- Operational Risk

KR Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology
We consider Kroger Stock Decision Process with Sign Test where A is the set of discrete actions of KR stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4
F(Sign Test)5,6,7= X R(Transductive Learning (ML)) X S(n):→ (n+16 weeks)
n:Time series to forecast
p:Price signals of KR stock
j:Nash equilibria
k:Dominated move
a:Best response for target price
For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below:
How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?
KR Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+16 weeks)
Sample Set: Neural NetworkStock/Index: KR Kroger
Time series to forecast n: 05 Sep 2022 for (n+16 weeks)
According to price forecasts for (n+16 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Strong Sell KR stock.
X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)
Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)
Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%
Conclusions
Kroger assigned short-term B1 & long-term B2 forecasted stock rating. We evaluate the prediction models Transductive Learning (ML) with Sign Test1,2,3,4 and conclude that the KR stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+16 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Strong Sell KR stock.
Financial State Forecast for KR Stock Options & Futures
Rating | Short-Term | Long-Term Senior |
---|---|---|
Outlook* | B1 | B2 |
Operational Risk | 59 | 31 |
Market Risk | 81 | 82 |
Technical Analysis | 55 | 40 |
Fundamental Analysis | 82 | 50 |
Risk Unsystematic | 30 | 40 |
Prediction Confidence Score
References
- Brailsford, T.J. R.W. Faff (1996), "An evaluation of volatility forecasting techniques," Journal of Banking Finance, 20, 419–438.
- Imbens G, Wooldridge J. 2009. Recent developments in the econometrics of program evaluation. J. Econ. Lit. 47:5–86
- Chernozhukov V, Escanciano JC, Ichimura H, Newey WK. 2016b. Locally robust semiparametric estimation. arXiv:1608.00033 [math.ST]
- Wan M, Wang D, Goldman M, Taddy M, Rao J, et al. 2017. Modeling consumer preferences and price sensitiv- ities from large-scale grocery shopping transaction logs. In Proceedings of the 26th International Conference on the World Wide Web, pp. 1103–12. New York: ACM
- Efron B, Hastie T, Johnstone I, Tibshirani R. 2004. Least angle regression. Ann. Stat. 32:407–99
- Athey S, Mobius MM, Pál J. 2017c. The impact of aggregators on internet news consumption. Unpublished manuscript, Grad. School Bus., Stanford Univ., Stanford, CA
- N. B ̈auerle and J. Ott. Markov decision processes with average-value-at-risk criteria. Mathematical Methods of Operations Research, 74(3):361–379, 2011
Frequently Asked Questions
Q: What is the prediction methodology for KR stock?A: KR stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Transductive Learning (ML) and Sign Test
Q: Is KR stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Strong Sell KR Stock.
Q: Is Kroger stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for Kroger is Strong Sell and assigned short-term B1 & long-term B2 forecasted stock rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of KR stock?
A: The consensus rating for KR is Strong Sell.
Q: What is the prediction period for KR stock?
A: The prediction period for KR is (n+16 weeks)
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