Modelling A.I. in Economics

Should You Buy, Sell, or Hold? (NSE ERIS Stock Forecast)

Prediction of the Stock Market is a challenging task in predicting the stock prices in the future. Due to the fluctuating nature of the stock, the stock market is too difficult to predict. Stock prices are constantly changing every day. Estimating of the stock market has a high demand for stock customers. Applying all extracted rules at any time is a major challenge to estimate the future stock price with high accuracy. The latest prediction techniques adopted for the stock market such as Artificial Neural Network, Neuro-Fuzzy System, Time Series Linear Models (TSLM), Recurrent Neural Network (RNN). We evaluate Eris Lifesciences Limited prediction models with Modular Neural Network (Emotional Trigger/Responses Analysis) and Polynomial Regression1,2,3,4 and conclude that the NSE ERIS stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold NSE ERIS stock.


Keywords: NSE ERIS, Eris Lifesciences Limited, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.

Key Points

  1. Fundemental Analysis with Algorithmic Trading
  2. How do predictive algorithms actually work?
  3. Market Outlook

NSE ERIS Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

The nature of stock market movement has always been ambiguous for investors because of various influential factors. This study aims to significantly reduce the risk of trend prediction with machine learning and deep learning algorithms. We consider Eris Lifesciences Limited Stock Decision Process with Polynomial Regression where A is the set of discrete actions of NSE ERIS stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4


F(Polynomial Regression)5,6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Modular Neural Network (Emotional Trigger/Responses Analysis)) X S(n):→ (n+1 year) i = 1 n r i

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of NSE ERIS stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

NSE ERIS Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+1 year)

Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: NSE ERIS Eris Lifesciences Limited
Time series to forecast n: 30 Sep 2022 for (n+1 year)

According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold NSE ERIS stock.

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%


Conclusions

Eris Lifesciences Limited assigned short-term Ba2 & long-term B3 forecasted stock rating. We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (Emotional Trigger/Responses Analysis) with Polynomial Regression1,2,3,4 and conclude that the NSE ERIS stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold NSE ERIS stock.

Financial State Forecast for NSE ERIS Stock Options & Futures

Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*Ba2B3
Operational Risk 4930
Market Risk5850
Technical Analysis6055
Fundamental Analysis8964
Risk Unsystematic8740

Prediction Confidence Score

Trust metric by Neural Network: 74 out of 100 with 803 signals.

References

  1. Athey S, Imbens GW. 2017b. The state of applied econometrics: causality and policy evaluation. J. Econ. Perspect. 31:3–32
  2. M. L. Littman. Friend-or-foe q-learning in general-sum games. In Proceedings of the Eighteenth International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML 2001), Williams College, Williamstown, MA, USA, June 28 - July 1, 2001, pages 322–328, 2001
  3. Bickel P, Klaassen C, Ritov Y, Wellner J. 1998. Efficient and Adaptive Estimation for Semiparametric Models. Berlin: Springer
  4. Ashley, R. (1988), "On the relative worth of recent macroeconomic forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, 4, 363–376.
  5. R. Sutton and A. Barto. Introduction to reinforcement learning. MIT Press, 1998
  6. Mnih A, Teh YW. 2012. A fast and simple algorithm for training neural probabilistic language models. In Proceedings of the 29th International Conference on Machine Learning, pp. 419–26. La Jolla, CA: Int. Mach. Learn. Soc.
  7. Clements, M. P. D. F. Hendry (1997), "An empirical study of seasonal unit roots in forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, 13, 341–355.
Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: What is the prediction methodology for NSE ERIS stock?
A: NSE ERIS stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (Emotional Trigger/Responses Analysis) and Polynomial Regression
Q: Is NSE ERIS stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold NSE ERIS Stock.
Q: Is Eris Lifesciences Limited stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for Eris Lifesciences Limited is Hold and assigned short-term Ba2 & long-term B3 forecasted stock rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of NSE ERIS stock?
A: The consensus rating for NSE ERIS is Hold.
Q: What is the prediction period for NSE ERIS stock?
A: The prediction period for NSE ERIS is (n+1 year)

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