Predictions on stock market prices are a great challenge due to the fact that it is an immensely complex, chaotic and dynamic environment. There are many studies from various areas aiming to take on that challenge and Machine Learning approaches have been the focus of many of them. There are many examples of Machine Learning algorithms been able to reach satisfactory results when doing that type of prediction. This article studies the usage of LSTM networks on that scenario, to predict future trends of stock prices based on the price history, alongside with technical analysis indicators. We evaluate Sudarshan Chemical Industries Limited prediction models with Statistical Inference (ML) and Lasso Regression1,2,3,4 and conclude that the NSE SUDARSCHEM stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+16 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy NSE SUDARSCHEM stock.
Keywords: NSE SUDARSCHEM, Sudarshan Chemical Industries Limited, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.
Key Points
- What is prediction model?
- Stock Rating
- Game Theory
NSE SUDARSCHEM Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology
Stock market trading is an activity in which investors need fast and accurate information to make effective decisions. Since many stocks are traded on a stock exchange, numerous factors influence the decision-making process. Moreover, the behaviour of stock prices is uncertain and hard to predict. For these reasons, stock price prediction is an important process and a challenging one. We consider Sudarshan Chemical Industries Limited Stock Decision Process with Lasso Regression where A is the set of discrete actions of NSE SUDARSCHEM stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4
F(Lasso Regression)5,6,7= X R(Statistical Inference (ML)) X S(n):→ (n+16 weeks)
n:Time series to forecast
p:Price signals of NSE SUDARSCHEM stock
j:Nash equilibria
k:Dominated move
a:Best response for target price
For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below:
How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?
NSE SUDARSCHEM Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+16 weeks)
Sample Set: Neural NetworkStock/Index: NSE SUDARSCHEM Sudarshan Chemical Industries Limited
Time series to forecast n: 29 Sep 2022 for (n+16 weeks)
According to price forecasts for (n+16 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy NSE SUDARSCHEM stock.
X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)
Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)
Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%
Conclusions
Sudarshan Chemical Industries Limited assigned short-term Ba1 & long-term B2 forecasted stock rating. We evaluate the prediction models Statistical Inference (ML) with Lasso Regression1,2,3,4 and conclude that the NSE SUDARSCHEM stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+16 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy NSE SUDARSCHEM stock.
Financial State Forecast for NSE SUDARSCHEM Stock Options & Futures
| Rating | Short-Term | Long-Term Senior |
|---|---|---|
| Outlook* | Ba1 | B2 |
| Operational Risk | 68 | 46 |
| Market Risk | 70 | 42 |
| Technical Analysis | 85 | 77 |
| Fundamental Analysis | 62 | 38 |
| Risk Unsystematic | 68 | 50 |
Prediction Confidence Score
References
- Krizhevsky A, Sutskever I, Hinton GE. 2012. Imagenet classification with deep convolutional neural networks. In Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, Vol. 25, ed. Z Ghahramani, M Welling, C Cortes, ND Lawrence, KQ Weinberger, pp. 1097–105. San Diego, CA: Neural Inf. Process. Syst. Found.
- S. J. Russell and P. Norvig. Artificial Intelligence: A Modern Approach. Prentice Hall, Englewood Cliffs, NJ, 3nd edition, 2010
- Armstrong, J. S. M. C. Grohman (1972), "A comparative study of methods for long-range market forecasting," Management Science, 19, 211–221.
- E. Collins. Using Markov decision processes to optimize a nonlinear functional of the final distribution, with manufacturing applications. In Stochastic Modelling in Innovative Manufacturing, pages 30–45. Springer, 1997
- Bamler R, Mandt S. 2017. Dynamic word embeddings via skip-gram filtering. In Proceedings of the 34th Inter- national Conference on Machine Learning, pp. 380–89. La Jolla, CA: Int. Mach. Learn. Soc.
- S. J. Russell and P. Norvig. Artificial Intelligence: A Modern Approach. Prentice Hall, Englewood Cliffs, NJ, 3nd edition, 2010
- Dietterich TG. 2000. Ensemble methods in machine learning. In Multiple Classifier Systems: First International Workshop, Cagliari, Italy, June 21–23, pp. 1–15. Berlin: Springer
Frequently Asked Questions
Q: What is the prediction methodology for NSE SUDARSCHEM stock?A: NSE SUDARSCHEM stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Statistical Inference (ML) and Lasso Regression
Q: Is NSE SUDARSCHEM stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy NSE SUDARSCHEM Stock.
Q: Is Sudarshan Chemical Industries Limited stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for Sudarshan Chemical Industries Limited is Buy and assigned short-term Ba1 & long-term B2 forecasted stock rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of NSE SUDARSCHEM stock?
A: The consensus rating for NSE SUDARSCHEM is Buy.
Q: What is the prediction period for NSE SUDARSCHEM stock?
A: The prediction period for NSE SUDARSCHEM is (n+16 weeks)
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