TXRH Target Price Prediction

Abstract

We evaluate Texas Roadhouse prediction models with Commodity Channel Index and ANOVA^1,2,3,4 and conclude that the TXRH stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+16 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold TXRH stock.

Keywords: TXRH, Texas Roadhouse, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.

Key Points

1. Market Risk
2. Short/Long Term Stocks
3. Dominated Move

TXRH Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider Texas Roadhouse Stock Decision Process with ANOVA where A is the set of discrete actions of TXRH stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.^1,2,3,4

F(ANOVA)^5,6,7= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{\mathrm{a}1}& p_{\mathrm{a}2}& \dots & p_{1n}\\ & ⋮\\ p_{j1}& p_{j2}& \dots & p_{jn}\\ & ⋮\\ p_{k1}& p_{k2}& \dots & p_{kn}\\ & ⋮\\ p_{n1}& p_{n2}& \dots & p_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Commodity Channel Index) X S(n):→ (n+16 weeks) $\sum _{i=1}^n\left(s_i\right)$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of TXRH stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

TXRH Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+16 weeks)

Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: TXRH Texas Roadhouse
Time series to forecast n: 01 Sep 2022 for (n+16 weeks)

According to price forecasts for (n+16 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold TXRH stock.

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%

Conclusions

Texas Roadhouse assigned short-term B2 & long-term B1 forecasted stock rating. We evaluate the prediction models Commodity Channel Index with ANOVA^1,2,3,4 and conclude that the TXRH stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+16 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold TXRH stock.

Financial State Forecast for TXRH Stock Options & Futures

Rating	Short-Term	Long-Term Senior
Outlook*	B2	B1
Operational Risk	37	39
Market Risk	86	77
Technical Analysis	67	61
Fundamental Analysis	42	88
Risk Unsystematic	56	36

Prediction Confidence Score

Trust metric by Neural Network: 83 out of 100 with 511 signals.

References

1. Dudik M, Erhan D, Langford J, Li L. 2014. Doubly robust policy evaluation and optimization. Stat. Sci. 29:485–511
2. M. Colby, T. Duchow-Pressley, J. J. Chung, and K. Tumer. Local approximation of difference evaluation functions. In Proceedings of the Fifteenth International Joint Conference on Autonomous Agents and Multiagent Systems, Singapore, May 2016
3. Hastie T, Tibshirani R, Wainwright M. 2015. Statistical Learning with Sparsity: The Lasso and Generalizations. New York: CRC Press
4. A. Tamar, Y. Glassner, and S. Mannor. Policy gradients beyond expectations: Conditional value-at-risk. In AAAI, 2015
5. Bamler R, Mandt S. 2017. Dynamic word embeddings via skip-gram filtering. In Proceedings of the 34th Inter- national Conference on Machine Learning, pp. 380–89. La Jolla, CA: Int. Mach. Learn. Soc.
6. Bessler, D. A. T. Covey (1991), "Cointegration: Some results on U.S. cattle prices," Journal of Futures Markets, 11, 461–474.
7. Holland PW. 1986. Statistics and causal inference. J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 81:945–60

Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is the prediction methodology for TXRH stock?
A: TXRH stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Commodity Channel Index and ANOVA
Q: Is TXRH stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold TXRH Stock.
Q: Is Texas Roadhouse stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for Texas Roadhouse is Hold and assigned short-term B2 & long-term B1 forecasted stock rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of TXRH stock?
A: The consensus rating for TXRH is Hold.
Q: What is the prediction period for TXRH stock?
A: The prediction period for TXRH is (n+16 weeks)

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